{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46a09b69-4171-4fbb-a0cd-3aafdb5bbb86", "symbol": "PRAXIS", "name": "Praxis Home Retail Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.061, "architecture_energy": 40.148, "architecture_maturity": 30.963, "architecture_confidence": 72.045, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.16, "rotation_up": 9.36, "upward_expansion": 13.78, "deceleration": 49.05, "rotation_down": 61.27, "downward_expansion": 68.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.843333, 7.229636, 7.337762, 7.300817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.91, "trend_reference": 7.367, "distance_from_trend": -0.062033, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.396658, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.578573, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.735296, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.128625, "excess_performance": -0.084916, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062033, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106091, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.578573, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031265, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.227353, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004856, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.314931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 891014, "relative_activity": 1.068041, "balance": 0.314931, "dry_up": 0.780453, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11455, "annualized_volatility": 0.781574, "from_high_reference": -0.521468, "from_low_reference": 0.313688 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.367, "fair_value_reference": 16.396658, "structural_low": 5.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.007078, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012736, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.422018, "worst_return": -0.235581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.024448, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.040444, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.076453, "worst_return": -0.332665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.389082, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.31878, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.901863, "worst_return": -0.382766, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205398, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100929, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.265539, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.11194, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.107068, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.038644, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043654, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.170194, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.184989, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.102597, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 21.200001, "volume": 38562, "typical_volume": 445609.1, "trend": 16.311702, "fair_value": 24.383968, "relative_strength": 0.475323, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.93, "volume": 423991, "typical_volume": 928951.9, "trend": 7.551333, "fair_value": 16.553773, "relative_strength": -21.246111, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.351842, "energy": 8.497202, "activity_lines": [ 7.485333, 7.565455, 7.478238, 7.427118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.13, "volume": 1048023, "typical_volume": 882125.0, "trend": 7.446333, "fair_value": 16.478325, "relative_strength": -31.395055, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.331485, "energy": 42.387609, "activity_lines": [ 6.956, 7.316182, 7.370571, 7.335419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.91, "volume": 891014, "typical_volume": 834250.45, "trend": 7.367, "fair_value": 16.396658, "relative_strength": -22.735296, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.061338, "energy": 40.148037, "activity_lines": [ 6.843333, 7.229636, 7.337762, 7.300817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }