{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46a8db38-75b7-4e11-983d-34211d48753b", "symbol": "DCGO", "name": "DocGo Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.225, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -6.579, "architecture_energy": 14.55, "architecture_maturity": 17.639, "architecture_confidence": 68.596, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.47, "rotation_up": 39.94, "upward_expansion": 34.33, "deceleration": 41.49, "rotation_down": 17.0, "downward_expansion": 40.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.63068, 0.602389, 0.599146, 0.612918 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.6342, "trend_reference": 0.64826, "distance_from_trend": -0.021689, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.824124, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.775435, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.435978, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.184518, "excess_performance": -0.371972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021689, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16735, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.775435, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063393, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.38436, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193905, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.184518, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.760085, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1637471, "relative_activity": 0.390237, "balance": 0.760085, "dry_up": 0.530648, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148253, "annualized_volatility": 0.697219, "from_high_reference": -0.639536, "from_low_reference": 0.405897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.64826, "fair_value_reference": 2.824124, "structural_low": 0.4511, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.011834, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.003408, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.24269, "worst_return": -0.423077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.116923, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.029206, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.347107, "worst_return": -0.429711, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.335656, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.503119, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.504615, "worst_return": -0.570458, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.620007, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.925149, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.590769, "worst_return": -0.649245, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-06-09", "end": "2023-07-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.099788, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-07-28", "end": "2023-09-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.348571, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.184314, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-11-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013986, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-11-24", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.349565, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.144615, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079365, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.183432, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.171149, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.187702, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.338912, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104575, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.530866, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025208, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 8.92, "volume": 3335087, "typical_volume": 3173728.2, "trend": 8.955667, "fair_value": 8.412979, "relative_strength": -13.305402, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after 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"fair_value": 2.937554, "relative_strength": -41.512692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.166049, "energy": 16.791123, "activity_lines": [ 0.5984, 0.581536, 0.591222, 0.615303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.6506, "volume": 1876539, "typical_volume": 4693077.35, "trend": 0.656923, "fair_value": 2.884353, "relative_strength": -35.257566, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.192187, "energy": 15.97659, "activity_lines": [ 0.622627, 0.593636, 0.595949, 0.614384 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6342, "volume": 1637471, "typical_volume": 4196096.1, "trend": 0.64826, "fair_value": 2.824124, "relative_strength": -38.435978, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.579071, "energy": 14.550497, "activity_lines": [ 0.63068, 0.602389, 0.599146, 0.612918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }