{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46b300df-22d5-4807-8198-54840967cd4c", "symbol": "HAMA", "name": "Hamak Strategy Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.391, "architecture_energy": 35.299, "architecture_maturity": 98.563, "architecture_confidence": 84.422, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.77, "rotation_up": 22.98, "upward_expansion": 4.22, "deceleration": 52.29, "rotation_down": 42.87, "downward_expansion": 72.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00647, 0.006573, 0.007174, 0.007748 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.0065, "trend_reference": 0.008801, "distance_from_trend": -0.261448, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.026474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.754475, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -60.851971, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.380952, "excess_performance": -0.432188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.261448, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175267, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.754475, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006343, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.60852, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01571, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.380952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.445142, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6186482, "relative_activity": 0.791489, "balance": 2.445142, "dry_up": 1.116599, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.25432, "annualized_volatility": 0.648357, "from_high_reference": -0.881818, "from_low_reference": 0.085142 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.008801, "fair_value_reference": 0.026474, "structural_low": 0.00599, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.023256, "positive_rate": 0.16129, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.027067, "regime_survival": 0.967742, "best_return": 1.105263, "worst_return": -0.733333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.193822, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.209675, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 7.105263, "worst_return": -0.834615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.395833, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.479523, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 5.16, "worst_return": -0.834615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 7187316.4, "trend": 0.009359, "fair_value": 0.027512, "relative_strength": -64.61203, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.270131, "energy": 50.799269, "activity_lines": [ 0.006439, 0.006751, 0.007429, 0.008101 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0065, "volume": 16863378, "typical_volume": 7795632.4, "trend": 0.009109, "fair_value": 0.026993, "relative_strength": -63.021257, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.506134, "energy": 37.400337, "activity_lines": [ 0.006446, 0.006648, 0.007295, 0.007916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0065, "volume": 6186482, "typical_volume": 7816254.95, "trend": 0.008801, "fair_value": 0.026474, "relative_strength": -60.851971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.391229, "energy": 35.299059, "activity_lines": [ 0.00647, 0.006573, 0.007174, 0.007748 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }