{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "46c60405-b6b3-4bb8-99e1-0e43b45d515d",
    "symbol": "IOX",
    "name": "Interoil Exploration and Production ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 57.478,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 1.669,
    "architecture_energy": 15.963,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.787,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.93,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.31,
        "rotation_up": 50.92,
        "upward_expansion": 32.14,
        "deceleration": 45.85,
        "rotation_down": 17.15,
        "downward_expansion": 20.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.936,
        2.727091,
        2.792667,
        2.956211
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.62,
    "trend_reference": 2.7989,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.063918,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.063991,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144906,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.833286,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.914349,
    "excess_performance": 1.789356,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063918,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.237758,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144906,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003833,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148333,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.306927,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.914349,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.273686,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 690739,
      "relative_activity": 0.25887,
      "balance": 2.273686,
      "dry_up": 1.10278,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.241486,
      "annualized_volatility": 2.092908,
      "from_high_reference": -0.708889,
      "from_low_reference": 4.229541
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.7989,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.063991,
      "structural_low": 0.823,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.046693,
        "positive_rate": 0.153846,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.153846,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040456,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 4.174419,
        "worst_return": -0.29666,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.239596,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.237817,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.267442,
        "worst_return": -0.506973,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.252918,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.271226,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.11326,
        "worst_return": -0.589302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.552777,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.583521,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.047882,
        "worst_return": -0.581712,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.183788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.20533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.07805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.372996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.35814,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.18787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.223118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.394435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.418421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.302083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.061728,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.099656,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 153761.1,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 4824419.6,
        "trend": 2.493167,
        "fair_value": 3.186235,
        "relative_strength": 19.856901,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.00216,
        "energy": 34.814941,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.24,
        "volume": 5522082,
        "typical_volume": 5085551.05,
        "trend": 2.576167,
        "fair_value": 3.156235,
        "relative_strength": 51.394211,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.76215,
        "energy": 10.177047,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.582,
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          2.903333,
          2.892955
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.44,
        "volume": 3949357,
        "typical_volume": 3888606.1,
        "trend": 2.671833,
        "fair_value": 3.127324,
        "relative_strength": 54.618814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.57463,
        "energy": 17.380189,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.926667,
          2.651455,
          2.90581,
          2.948686
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.91,
        "volume": 1607959,
        "typical_volume": 3205771.6,
        "trend": 2.741533,
        "fair_value": 3.096427,
        "relative_strength": 28.852586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.898873,
        "energy": 17.835766,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.012667,
          2.716909,
          2.859143,
          2.964052
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.62,
        "volume": 690739,
        "typical_volume": 2668287.85,
        "trend": 2.7989,
        "fair_value": 3.063991,
        "relative_strength": 14.833286,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 1.669178,
        "energy": 15.963069,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.936,
          2.727091,
          2.792667,
          2.956211
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}