{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46cfae10-4385-4c83-a941-00816377677a", "symbol": "T1MU34", "name": "T-Mobile US, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.047, "architecture_energy": 44.638, "architecture_maturity": 50.12, "architecture_confidence": 93.836, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.43, "rotation_up": 23.01, "upward_expansion": 8.43, "deceleration": 51.95, "rotation_down": 55.46, "downward_expansion": 79.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.665428, 65.637195, 66.645478, 68.742927 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 64.0, "trend_reference": 71.130452, "distance_from_trend": -0.100245, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 75.814013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.012972, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.126865, "excess_performance": -0.069816, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.100245, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053342, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155829, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066645, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21013, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115794, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.126865, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.836214, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1153, "relative_activity": 0.656886, "balance": 0.836214, "dry_up": 0.413759, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056956, "annualized_volatility": 0.320642, "from_high_reference": -0.355056, "from_low_reference": 0.033592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.130452, "fair_value_reference": 75.814013, "structural_low": 61.919998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.020312, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.009651, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.13038, "worst_return": -0.120245, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.007762, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.081235, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.103684, "worst_return": -0.106377, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.079913, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.15581, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.022299, "worst_return": -0.138979, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.833014, "energy": 22.728239, "activity_lines": [ 68.197334, 67.731297, 68.52192, 70.445671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.842857, "volume": 28, "typical_volume": 1639.4, "trend": 72.072865, "fair_value": 75.599174, "relative_strength": -23.985672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.344469, "energy": 42.02618, "activity_lines": [ 66.967143, 67.064455, 67.859921, 69.88557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.919998, "volume": 1605, "typical_volume": 1712.65, "trend": 71.558103, "fair_value": 75.704164, "relative_strength": -26.876791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.066268, "energy": 47.106483, "activity_lines": [ 65.282095, 66.102182, 67.105664, 69.230546 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.0, "volume": 1153, "typical_volume": 1755.25, "trend": 71.130452, "fair_value": 75.814013, "relative_strength": -21.012972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.047393, "energy": 44.638328, "activity_lines": [ 64.665428, 65.637195, 66.645478, 68.742927 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }