{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "46deea49-d751-4645-b34f-9e7a4740776a",
    "symbol": "TEGB",
    "name": "VanEck European Equal Weight Screened UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 67.055,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.062,
    "architecture_energy": 51.307,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.413,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.763,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.47,
        "rotation_up": 49.92,
        "upward_expansion": 78.09,
        "deceleration": 64.05,
        "rotation_down": 26.47,
        "downward_expansion": 7.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        82.556667,
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        80.69
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 84.260002,
    "trend_reference": 79.903004,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054529,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 66.480479,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26744,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.250012,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.055138,
    "excess_performance": 0.003902,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054529,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025364,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26744,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040018,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0025,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008685,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055138,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.470923,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 274,
      "relative_activity": 0.449254,
      "balance": 0.470923,
      "dry_up": 0.37957,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017042,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172425,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00225,
      "from_low_reference": 0.1913
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.903004,
      "fair_value_reference": 66.480479,
      "structural_low": 71.57,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.004705,
        "positive_rate": 0.547619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.547619,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004109,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.081562,
        "worst_return": -0.101004,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001037,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.055631,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.116134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.057194,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 79.824997,
        "volume": 224,
        "typical_volume": 1055.1,
        "trend": 77.136582,
        "fair_value": 63.961274,
        "relative_strength": -0.522998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.307747,
        "energy": 40.742836,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 78.706253,
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        "typical_volume": 1182.15,
        "trend": 77.31832,
        "fair_value": 64.123212,
        "relative_strength": -0.61853,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.769336,
        "energy": 36.893207,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 78.740623,
        "volume": 153,
        "typical_volume": 1188.9,
        "trend": 77.503362,
        "fair_value": 64.282711,
        "relative_strength": -0.161731,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.105102,
        "energy": 37.30314,
        "activity_lines": [
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          78.210831
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 80.488457,
        "volume": 52,
        "typical_volume": 1190.75,
        "trend": 77.713135,
        "fair_value": 64.458053,
        "relative_strength": -0.554485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.87182,
        "energy": 30.442909,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.531902,
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          78.658078,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 81.318184,
        "volume": 220,
        "typical_volume": 1090.75,
        "trend": 77.926499,
        "fair_value": 64.639069,
        "relative_strength": 1.026479,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.040262,
        "energy": 34.047534,
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          78.908665,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 80.415001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1064.0,
        "trend": 78.144115,
        "fair_value": 64.81727,
        "relative_strength": 0.335893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.187382,
        "energy": 38.147282,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.333374,
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          79.062046,
          78.79655
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 81.254997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1051.0,
        "trend": 78.333794,
        "fair_value": 64.995508,
        "relative_strength": 0.388574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.74069,
        "energy": 56.796351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 82.900002,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 78.654494,
        "fair_value": 65.192133,
        "relative_strength": 3.438436,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.132088,
        "energy": 71.583358,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 82.095001,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 78.88014,
        "fair_value": 65.374192,
        "relative_strength": 1.049907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.856834,
        "energy": 69.64493,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.865879,
          81.106957,
          79.934816,
          79.513814
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 83.690002,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 981.15,
        "trend": 79.144666,
        "fair_value": 65.579938,
        "relative_strength": 1.382499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.914821,
        "energy": 81.721798,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.563668,
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          80.351115,
          79.824128
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 81.82,
        "volume": 2264,
        "typical_volume": 1043.35,
        "trend": 79.328557,
        "fair_value": 65.762428,
        "relative_strength": 0.863922,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.320022,
        "energy": 72.636347,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.480001,
          81.836375,
          80.569545,
          79.99673
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 80.800003,
        "volume": 195,
        "typical_volume": 929.1,
        "trend": 79.442513,
        "fair_value": 65.930928,
        "relative_strength": -1.291925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.011951,
        "energy": 51.347746,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.962668,
          81.774039,
          80.689637,
          80.091662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 81.43,
        "volume": 453,
        "typical_volume": 946.45,
        "trend": 79.581628,
        "fair_value": 66.102596,
        "relative_strength": -1.698662,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.325409,
        "energy": 37.150318,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.685668,
          81.78818,
          80.878761,
          80.219887
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.334999,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 762.9,
        "trend": 79.72662,
        "fair_value": 66.287095,
        "relative_strength": -1.775897,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.437889,
        "energy": 31.236238,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.808334,
          81.917968,
          81.137384,
          80.397524
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.260002,
        "volume": 274,
        "typical_volume": 609.9,
        "trend": 79.903004,
        "fair_value": 66.480479,
        "relative_strength": 0.250012,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.06161,
        "energy": 51.307422,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.556667,
          82.364183,
          81.549651,
          80.69
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}