{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46ea9f17-19bf-4ad5-b701-641ea8399bea", "symbol": "TYL", "name": "Tyler Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.562, "architecture_energy": 16.067, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.624, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.21, "rotation_up": 24.26, "upward_expansion": 16.93, "deceleration": 45.48, "rotation_down": 27.38, "downward_expansion": 53.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 309.373333, 307.202364, 310.355905, 317.776538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 312.45, "trend_reference": 332.187333, "distance_from_trend": -0.059416, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 475.142308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.342408, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.537585, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.103057, "excess_performance": -0.228682, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059416, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134681, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.342408, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014884, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.315376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.103057, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.880115, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3996690, "relative_activity": 1.120401, "balance": 0.880115, "dry_up": 1.202816, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095687, "annualized_volatility": 0.399817, "from_high_reference": -0.477561, "from_low_reference": 0.154187 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 332.187333, "fair_value_reference": 475.142308, "structural_low": 270.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.031453, "positive_rate": 0.32, "directional_follow_through": 0.68, "median_excess_return": -0.038237, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.207065, "worst_return": -0.309243, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.089013, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.14885, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.181614, "worst_return": -0.275517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.116656, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.198042, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.111445, "worst_return": -0.370699, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 476.686859, "relative_strength": -30.672331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.768296, "energy": 21.471755, "activity_lines": [ 310.498667, 306.905455, 314.430714, 324.539957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 297.15, "volume": 3268973, "typical_volume": 3295168.35, "trend": 340.925667, "fair_value": 476.087372, "relative_strength": -34.161503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.35295, "energy": 21.23045, "activity_lines": [ 308.188667, 305.121818, 311.881857, 321.363226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 309.6, "volume": 6597692, "typical_volume": 3510306.95, "trend": 336.718, "fair_value": 475.623782, "relative_strength": -30.992105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.303012, "energy": 18.388683, "activity_lines": [ 308.812667, 305.869818, 310.887476, 319.342215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 312.45, "volume": 3996690, "typical_volume": 3567196.05, "trend": 332.187333, "fair_value": 475.142308, "relative_strength": -31.537585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.561715, "energy": 16.066889, "activity_lines": [ 309.373333, 307.202364, 310.355905, 317.776538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }