{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46ef8d21-dc28-4e2c-938e-0442192ac327", "symbol": "IOY", "name": "Infosys Limited", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.447, "architecture_energy": 17.631, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.952, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.93, "rotation_up": 32.03, "upward_expansion": 21.57, "deceleration": 44.14, "rotation_down": 23.45, "downward_expansion": 57.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.281333, 10.057074, 10.182333, 10.570363 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.8, "trend_reference": 11.396596, "distance_from_trend": -0.052349, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.597728, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.307591, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.581749, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.239437, "excess_performance": -0.413683, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052349, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138512, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.307591, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035675, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325817, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055187, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.239437, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.46382, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.46382, "dry_up": 4.283818, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061187, "annualized_volatility": 0.4068, "from_high_reference": -0.420912, "from_low_reference": 0.186813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.396596, "fair_value_reference": 15.597728, "structural_low": 9.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.014019, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.007716, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.212644, "worst_return": -0.156805, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.035864, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.027557, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.377049, "worst_return": -0.12766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.004544, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006647, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.394032, "worst_return": -0.212901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076712, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.110199, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046982, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.059441, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022436, "active": 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9.912352, 10.337007, 10.994409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.92, "volume": 3662, "typical_volume": 264.3, "trend": 11.927596, "fair_value": 15.667694, "relative_strength": -37.49912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.737497, "energy": 55.560331, "activity_lines": [ 9.742667, 9.883735, 10.255065, 10.846113 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.72, "volume": 2429, "typical_volume": 385.75, "trend": 11.719929, "fair_value": 15.641893, "relative_strength": -38.827483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.867928, "energy": 51.402488, "activity_lines": [ 9.764, 9.828077, 10.16398, 10.703687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.4, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 357.8, "trend": 11.546596, "fair_value": 15.618381, "relative_strength": -33.77584, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.229876, "energy": 34.591835, "activity_lines": [ 9.989333, 9.903698, 10.150895, 10.61853 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.8, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 357.8, "trend": 11.396596, "fair_value": 15.597728, "relative_strength": -32.581749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.447183, "energy": 17.631235, "activity_lines": [ 10.281333, 10.057074, 10.182333, 10.570363 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }