{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "46f1769b-28a1-477b-9316-87476880c8d8",
    "symbol": "0053",
    "name": "Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Electronics Tech ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.121,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.428,
    "architecture_energy": 23.524,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.29,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.07,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.2,
        "rotation_up": 23.55,
        "upward_expansion": 57.2,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 28.65,
        "downward_expansion": 20.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        229.013336,
        232.395456,
        229.110477,
        217.573227
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 231.75,
    "trend_reference": 200.888334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.153626,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 114.002741,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.032846,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.463385,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.43454,
    "excess_performance": 0.055229,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153626,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196002,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.032846,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195854,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044634,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066269,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.43454,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.841805,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 164373,
      "relative_activity": 1.496766,
      "balance": 0.841805,
      "dry_up": 1.641534,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059447,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.310935,
      "from_high_reference": -0.070211,
      "from_low_reference": 1.187959
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 200.888334,
      "fair_value_reference": 114.002741,
      "structural_low": 156.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.020455,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005731,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.102804,
        "worst_return": -0.025373,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.041637,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007257,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.150382,
        "worst_return": -0.078358,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.121186,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042765,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.139337,
        "worst_return": -0.16194,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.246424,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.112954,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.48296,
        "worst_return": -0.097356,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-02",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002961,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.365079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.094099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.070429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.127561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.13848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.012672,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 5.293872,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 221.75,
        "volume": 177456,
        "typical_volume": 104047.6,
        "trend": 191.808333,
        "fair_value": 110.83886,
        "relative_strength": 4.447914,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.476775,
        "energy": 48.785143,
        "activity_lines": [
          234.059999,
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          224.481429,
          210.914409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 228.850006,
        "volume": 149646,
        "typical_volume": 105189.35,
        "trend": 194.978334,
        "fair_value": 111.889,
        "relative_strength": 5.052985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.665942,
        "energy": 41.131651,
        "activity_lines": [
          231.370001,
          234.540909,
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          213.304194
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 227.350006,
        "volume": 229610,
        "typical_volume": 107655.45,
        "trend": 197.951667,
        "fair_value": 112.936403,
        "relative_strength": 5.373822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.896771,
        "energy": 25.950714,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.253337,
          233.081819,
          227.613096,
          215.392689
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 231.75,
        "volume": 164373,
        "typical_volume": 109818.75,
        "trend": 200.888334,
        "fair_value": 114.002741,
        "relative_strength": 4.463385,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.428404,
        "energy": 23.523825,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.013336,
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          229.110477,
          217.573227
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}