{ "ticker": { "uuid": "470857e4-dfb3-47a9-b014-44d7b7d60dfb", "symbol": "SNS", "name": "SenSen Networks Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.76, "architecture_energy": 38.665, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.983, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.39, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 24.31, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 31.45, "downward_expansion": 60.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0286, 0.027618, 0.028876, 0.03274 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.031, "trend_reference": 0.039667, "distance_from_trend": -0.218487, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.042291, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.26699, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -48.368583, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.354167, "excess_performance": -0.417872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218487, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.353612, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.26699, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.483686, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00359, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.354167, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.360774, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 901404, "relative_activity": 0.765958, "balance": 4.360774, "dry_up": 1.254637, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096774, "annualized_volatility": 0.542048, "from_high_reference": -0.761538, "from_low_reference": 0.409091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.039667, "fair_value_reference": 0.042291, "structural_low": 0.022, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.08, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.717949, "median_excess_return": -0.088357, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.652174, "worst_return": -0.378378, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.151515, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.198815, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.42, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.243243, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.271696, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.318182, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": -64.687546, "energy": 73.185514, "activity_lines": [ 0.025933, 0.027055, 0.031067, 0.03689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.026, "volume": 452127, "typical_volume": 1176128.2, "trend": 0.045333, "fair_value": 0.042907, "relative_strength": -54.473483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.751481, "energy": 65.422353, "activity_lines": [ 0.025733, 0.026709, 0.03011, 0.035523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.028, "volume": 2399077, "typical_volume": 1175631.45, "trend": 0.043367, "fair_value": 0.042685, "relative_strength": -50.795778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.30602, "energy": 62.568864, "activity_lines": [ 0.0264, 0.0268, 0.029476, 0.034404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.028, "volume": 2153380, "typical_volume": 1216735.9, "trend": 0.041433, "fair_value": 0.04245, "relative_strength": -51.867576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.830187, "energy": 53.036231, "activity_lines": [ 0.027067, 0.026927, 0.028981, 0.033413 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.031, "volume": 901404, "typical_volume": 1176832.05, "trend": 0.039667, "fair_value": 0.042291, "relative_strength": -48.368583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.760185, "energy": 38.664785, "activity_lines": [ 0.0286, 0.027618, 0.028876, 0.03274 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }