{ "ticker": { "uuid": "470aa8e3-9c87-41bc-ad9c-3c3b38df7a4b", "symbol": "FEAT", "name": "Feat Fund Investments - Limited Partnership", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.108, "architecture_energy": 88.107, "architecture_maturity": 28.425, "architecture_confidence": 79.721, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.62, "rotation_up": 8.18, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 78.31, "downward_expansion": 95.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.4392, 1.535375, 1.675496, 1.748361 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.471, "trend_reference": 1.851039, "distance_from_trend": -0.205311, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.474643, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.002471, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.636235, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.264868, "excess_performance": -0.293768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205311, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017634, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.002471, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183712, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.236362, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011021, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.264868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.919879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.919879, "dry_up": 0.789464, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066151, "annualized_volatility": 0.493348, "from_high_reference": -0.371368, "from_low_reference": 0.097761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.851039, "fair_value_reference": 1.474643, "structural_low": 1.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.024932, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.001826, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.401158, "worst_return": -0.241206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036109, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.03508, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.17866, "worst_return": -0.272629, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.037778, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.096086, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.443342, "worst_return": -0.418103, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.080357, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011163, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.243474, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005614, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.117073, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": 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1.90601, 1.92529 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 1.995, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 23200.4, "trend": 1.9263, "fair_value": 1.473963, "relative_strength": -1.680276, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.592567, "energy": 29.44013, "activity_lines": [ 1.973533, 1.915927, 1.912286, 1.930684 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 1.753159, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22232.3, "trend": 1.927739, "fair_value": 1.475458, "relative_strength": -10.748739, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.914121, "energy": 23.670506, "activity_lines": [ 1.912653, 1.887411, 1.896363, 1.919513 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.562, "volume": 1999, "typical_volume": 20044.85, "trend": 1.921639, "fair_value": 1.475855, "relative_strength": -21.767365, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.099608, "energy": 60.35887, "activity_lines": [ 1.786176, 1.82899, 1.863414, 1.895917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.562, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19689.85, "trend": 1.915472, "fair_value": 1.476252, "relative_strength": -19.899985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.951816, "energy": 83.937208, "activity_lines": [ 1.686832, 1.778896, 1.83279, 1.872715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.34, "volume": 20804, "typical_volume": 18370.3, "trend": 1.901905, "fair_value": 1.475227, "relative_strength": -32.054073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.582974, "energy": 96.176605, "activity_lines": [ 1.542355, 1.695148, 1.782884, 1.835588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.369, "volume": 30403, "typical_volume": 19600.45, "trend": 1.887739, "fair_value": 1.474387, "relative_strength": -31.535907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.12994, "energy": 92.955653, "activity_lines": [ 1.451211, 1.623672, 1.738107, 1.801207 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.471, "volume": 9958, "typical_volume": 19714.3, "trend": 1.873372, "fair_value": 1.474201, "relative_strength": -23.96481, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.21611, "energy": 88.301679, "activity_lines": [ 1.4358, 1.577214, 1.70574, 1.77432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.471, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19369.15, "trend": 1.851039, "fair_value": 1.474643, "relative_strength": -23.636235, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.107553, "energy": 88.107297, "activity_lines": [ 1.4392, 1.535375, 1.675496, 1.748361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }