{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47105852-30ed-46d2-9cb0-bf013b714de4", "symbol": "BGSF", "name": "BG Staffing Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.687, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.399, "architecture_energy": 12.25, "architecture_maturity": 18.272, "architecture_confidence": 52.726, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.79, "rotation_up": 26.28, "upward_expansion": 16.66, "deceleration": 33.6, "rotation_down": 31.1, "downward_expansion": 59.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.596, 5.604182, 5.554857, 5.658129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.62, "trend_reference": 5.743, "distance_from_trend": -0.021417, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.157495, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089676, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.227574, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.007067, "excess_performance": -0.132692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021417, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069062, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089676, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087446, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014523, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.007067, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.22447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28452, "relative_activity": 0.454596, "balance": 1.22447, "dry_up": 0.742161, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067105, "annualized_volatility": 0.350632, "from_high_reference": -0.167407, "from_low_reference": 0.729231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.743, "fair_value_reference": 5.157495, "structural_low": 4.92, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.026316, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.014825, "regime_survival": 0.421053, "best_return": 0.6425, "worst_return": -0.231623, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.036816, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.009247, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.94, "worst_return": -0.297043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.067709, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.053448, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.598145, "worst_return": -0.666667, "sufficient": true }, { 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5.602524, 5.678237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.74, "volume": 40987, "typical_volume": 77908.3, "trend": 5.672, "fair_value": 5.184369, "relative_strength": 4.331664, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.649335, "energy": 18.655485, "activity_lines": [ 5.710667, 5.552545, 5.599619, 5.684925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.51, "volume": 30974, "typical_volume": 74723.45, "trend": 5.697, "fair_value": 5.175962, "relative_strength": 0.660885, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.887176, "energy": 16.442245, "activity_lines": [ 5.651333, 5.566545, 5.576429, 5.674473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.55, "volume": 85387, "typical_volume": 67745.5, "trend": 5.726333, "fair_value": 5.169312, "relative_strength": 0.14046, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.728038, "energy": 9.670917, "activity_lines": [ 5.598, 5.581455, 5.560286, 5.664989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.62, "volume": 28452, "typical_volume": 62587.5, "trend": 5.743, "fair_value": 5.157495, "relative_strength": -2.227574, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.398954, "energy": 12.250138, "activity_lines": [ 5.596, 5.604182, 5.554857, 5.658129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }