{ "ticker": { "uuid": "471ed077-cf40-4b1e-8c4f-85f2bf61ea86", "symbol": "LORDSCHLO", "name": "Lords Chloro Alkali Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.582, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.475, "architecture_energy": 49.016, "architecture_maturity": 31.752, "architecture_confidence": 69.648, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.55, "rotation_up": 59.94, "upward_expansion": 80.65, "deceleration": 50.13, "rotation_down": 10.54, "downward_expansion": 9.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.672004, 141.208185, 140.396717, 138.537658 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 144.130005, "trend_reference": 137.673334, "distance_from_trend": 0.046898, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 152.03604, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.052001, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.634107, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.066092, "excess_performance": -0.022383, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088928, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.052001, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003788, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076341, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.066092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.774818, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60128, "relative_activity": 0.729036, "balance": 0.774818, "dry_up": 1.844493, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079085, "annualized_volatility": 0.498601, "from_high_reference": -0.381416, "from_low_reference": 0.334537 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 137.673334, "fair_value_reference": 152.03604, "structural_low": 108.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03177, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.007208, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.326223, "worst_return": -0.11463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.18052, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.155771, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.372901, "worst_return": -0.011861, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.456131, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.383092, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.456131, "worst_return": 0.456131, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.101347, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035546, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.14249, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.216721, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.218493, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"mixed", "direction": 26.081773, "energy": 29.863553, "activity_lines": [ 142.67267, 138.985639, 139.19924, 137.838948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 143.770004, "volume": 359208, "typical_volume": 82592.95, "trend": 138.212667, "fair_value": 152.087713, "relative_strength": -7.882495, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.342134, "energy": 32.152599, "activity_lines": [ 143.966003, 140.12473, 139.846288, 138.155894 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 144.130005, "volume": 60128, "typical_volume": 82476.05, "trend": 137.673334, "fair_value": 152.03604, "relative_strength": -7.634107, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.474911, "energy": 49.015739, "activity_lines": [ 144.672004, 141.208185, 140.396717, 138.537658 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }