{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47258454-d216-4038-a2d5-6dcf1ecefe92", "symbol": "ALHUN", "name": "Hunyvers SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 63.8, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.395, "architecture_energy": 71.634, "architecture_maturity": 5.37, "architecture_confidence": 85.127, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.96, "rotation_up": 11.95, "upward_expansion": 17.86, "deceleration": 34.31, "rotation_down": 69.9, "downward_expansion": 86.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.046667, 7.121818, 7.223524, 7.233505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.95, "trend_reference": 7.255667, "distance_from_trend": -0.042128, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.928333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.299983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.826489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.04533, "excess_performance": -0.098641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.042128, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014826, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.299983, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011697, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108265, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055467, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04533, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.246464, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 647, "relative_activity": 0.864453, "balance": 0.246464, "dry_up": 0.833055, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024903, "annualized_volatility": 0.175523, "from_high_reference": -0.19186, "from_low_reference": 0.170034 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.255667, "fair_value_reference": 9.928333, "structural_low": 6.8, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.03952, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.029139, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.215596, "worst_return": -0.118852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.049099, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.093644, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.115741, "worst_return": -0.192523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.126866, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.221023, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.297468, "worst_return": -0.324786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-4.497912, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.247206, "energy": 10.46586, "activity_lines": [ 7.26, 7.258182, 7.302333, 7.287978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.25, "volume": 284, "typical_volume": 902.8, "trend": 7.268333, "fair_value": 10.067115, "relative_strength": -4.60817, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.944228, "energy": 7.255691, "activity_lines": [ 7.273333, 7.248182, 7.30119, 7.288624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.05, "volume": 878, "typical_volume": 849.7, "trend": 7.292, "fair_value": 10.020641, "relative_strength": -7.074251, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.098477, "energy": 24.76761, "activity_lines": [ 7.2, 7.206364, 7.280571, 7.274538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.0, "volume": 685, "typical_volume": 830.25, "trend": 7.294, "fair_value": 9.975128, "relative_strength": -8.633562, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.472157, "energy": 53.910631, "activity_lines": [ 7.123333, 7.163636, 7.254571, 7.255699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.95, "volume": 647, "typical_volume": 748.45, "trend": 7.255667, "fair_value": 9.928333, "relative_strength": -10.826489, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.394593, "energy": 71.634193, "activity_lines": [ 7.046667, 7.121818, 7.223524, 7.233505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }