{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4727ff3d-88e6-4396-9493-e4806ca38c93", "symbol": "Q0F", "name": "IHH Healthcare Berhad", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 49.964, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.497, "architecture_energy": 49.773, "architecture_maturity": 8.082, "architecture_confidence": 78.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.09, "rotation_up": 16.64, "upward_expansion": 8.53, "deceleration": 45.19, "rotation_down": 64.99, "downward_expansion": 79.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.683333, 2.713818, 2.76481, 2.785332 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.58, "trend_reference": 2.79228, "distance_from_trend": -0.076024, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.057777, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25378, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.864189, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.064286, "excess_performance": -0.219121, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.076024, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01963, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25378, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218518, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168642, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.256613, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.147979, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28200, "relative_activity": 0.733039, "balance": 1.147979, "dry_up": 0.898752, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03876, "annualized_volatility": 0.152285, "from_high_reference": -0.143532, "from_low_reference": 0.3178 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.79228, "fair_value_reference": 2.057777, "structural_low": 2.57, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -7.1e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021099, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.041421, "worst_return": -0.057291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.027273, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.012912, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.221918, "worst_return": -0.118226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.009424, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.026405, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.233957, "worst_return": -0.078818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 53375.0, "trend": 2.791914, "fair_value": 2.04335, "relative_strength": -10.9796, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.482115, "energy": 25.778327, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.761273, 2.797318, 2.80444 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.71, "volume": 46000, "typical_volume": 52350.0, "trend": 2.794263, "fair_value": 2.05098, "relative_strength": -11.653641, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.819455, "energy": 25.785777, "activity_lines": [ 2.738, 2.747818, 2.787025, 2.799155 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.58, "volume": 28200, "typical_volume": 38470.0, "trend": 2.79228, "fair_value": 2.057777, "relative_strength": -16.864189, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.497371, "energy": 49.773374, "activity_lines": [ 2.683333, 2.713818, 2.76481, 2.785332 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }