{ "ticker": { "uuid": "472db754-e698-4ca6-8a54-677a916c86a4", "symbol": "3567", "name": "ETREND Hightech Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 71.27, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.055, "architecture_energy": 27.444, "architecture_maturity": 7.287, "architecture_confidence": 61.032, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.26, "rotation_up": 18.03, "upward_expansion": 19.42, "deceleration": 54.57, "rotation_down": 59.08, "downward_expansion": 44.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.146667, 26.895649, 27.202542, 26.99098 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.75, "trend_reference": 26.853299, "distance_from_trend": -0.041086, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.736293, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134055, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.486669, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.034634, "excess_performance": -0.476006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.041086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031711, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.134055, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059982, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.294867, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016994, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034634, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.89181, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 258056, "relative_activity": 0.273051, "balance": 2.89181, "dry_up": 0.29444, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082055, "annualized_volatility": 0.274172, "from_high_reference": -0.205839, "from_low_reference": 0.078708 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.853299, "fair_value_reference": 29.736293, "structural_low": 24.016107, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.006039, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.023176, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.148515, "worst_return": -0.094467, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.032394, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.089602, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.125468, "worst_return": -0.127132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.084214, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.214929, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.085967, 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26.549798, "fair_value": 29.769956, "relative_strength": -23.901855, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.698353, "energy": 46.371126, "activity_lines": [ 28.587382, 28.182355, 27.498523, 27.105295 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.65, "volume": 1085055, "typical_volume": 954339.3, "trend": 26.610212, "fair_value": 29.777926, "relative_strength": -24.95423, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.673922, "energy": 25.842508, "activity_lines": [ 28.089776, 27.926748, 27.474854, 27.11176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.299999, "volume": 295009, "typical_volume": 950288.9, "trend": 26.705179, "fair_value": 29.786676, "relative_strength": -24.104284, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.280335, "energy": 18.579908, "activity_lines": [ 27.794317, 27.828413, 27.513664, 27.156262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.6, "volume": 405001, "typical_volume": 955984.1, "trend": 26.745089, "fair_value": 29.76986, "relative_strength": -27.145625, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.346354, "energy": 11.106906, "activity_lines": [ 26.945212, 27.422782, 27.385056, 27.08496 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.35, "volume": 155014, "typical_volume": 944182.55, "trend": 26.81161, "fair_value": 29.755407, "relative_strength": -26.08815, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.66935, "energy": 18.21325, "activity_lines": [ 26.55944, 27.195881, 27.324015, 27.059471 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 25.75, "volume": 258056, "typical_volume": 945083.7, "trend": 26.853299, "fair_value": 29.736293, "relative_strength": -29.486669, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.054986, "energy": 27.4436, "activity_lines": [ 26.146667, 26.895649, 27.202542, 26.99098 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }