{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4733049e-8c82-4204-8fe4-535c704dba9e", "symbol": "IDIP", "name": "IDI", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 62.335, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.458, "architecture_energy": 60.634, "architecture_maturity": 26.705, "architecture_confidence": 81.335, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.17, "rotation_up": 62.79, "upward_expansion": 88.52, "deceleration": 45.19, "rotation_down": 17.83, "downward_expansion": 12.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.466666, 70.949091, 70.309263, 69.604532 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 71.400002, "trend_reference": 69.064968, "distance_from_trend": 0.033809, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.863057, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100781, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.818446, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.018315, "excess_performance": -0.034996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033809, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023647, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100781, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008533, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038184, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010569, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018315, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.644667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1094, "relative_activity": 0.724, "balance": 1.644667, "dry_up": 0.989047, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020994, "annualized_volatility": 0.130693, "from_high_reference": -0.066118, "from_low_reference": 0.129742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.064968, "fair_value_reference": 64.863057, "structural_low": 63.200277, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.00501, "positive_rate": 0.558824, "directional_follow_through": 0.558824, "median_excess_return": 0.002551, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.145908, "worst_return": -0.088235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.056402, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.033906, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.175407, "worst_return": -0.091183, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.106094, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.085232, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.311554, "worst_return": -0.098602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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70.826667, 70.460862, 69.740165, 69.22055 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.199997, "volume": 1263, "typical_volume": 1643.05, "trend": 68.932516, "fair_value": 64.761605, "relative_strength": -0.754492, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.578646, "energy": 72.808035, "activity_lines": [ 71.373332, 70.803636, 70.078291, 69.445339 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.400002, "volume": 1094, "typical_volume": 1511.05, "trend": 69.064968, "fair_value": 64.863057, "relative_strength": -3.818446, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.458172, "energy": 60.634227, "activity_lines": [ 71.466666, 70.949091, 70.309263, 69.604532 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }