{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "473649d5-df33-4f9e-b9dd-11495aee2380",
    "symbol": "NUAG",
    "name": "NUSHARES ETF TRUST NUVEEN ENHANCED YLD US AGGREGT BND ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 68.118,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.443,
    "architecture_energy": 68.248,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.665,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.118,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.95,
        "rotation_up": 9.15,
        "upward_expansion": 15.34,
        "deceleration": 37.12,
        "rotation_down": 73.29,
        "downward_expansion": 91.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.640165,
        20.72082,
        20.775649,
        20.805776
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 20.675,
    "trend_reference": 20.848283,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.008312,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 19.682194,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.050442,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.441677,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.012702,
    "excess_performance": -0.138327,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008312,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000171,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050442,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023024,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114417,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016025,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012702,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.347738,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 79021,
      "relative_activity": 0.768817,
      "balance": 1.347738,
      "dry_up": 0.536766,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007731,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.043915,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023738,
      "from_low_reference": 0.022263
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.848283,
      "fair_value_reference": 19.682194,
      "structural_low": 20.536479,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.004125,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014088,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
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        "worst_return": -0.042247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.007149,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.075678,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": 0.018909,
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        "worst_return": -0.094194,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.095891,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 19709,
        "typical_volume": 96920.9,
        "trend": 20.870252,
        "fair_value": 19.633169,
        "relative_strength": -8.374591,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": -49.360732,
        "energy": 30.601903,
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          20.809924,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.590559,
        "volume": 11147,
        "typical_volume": 95198.65,
        "trend": 20.861854,
        "fair_value": 19.648754,
        "relative_strength": -8.335708,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.174787,
        "energy": 58.609606,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.723747,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.552315,
        "volume": 110804,
        "typical_volume": 99835.4,
        "trend": 20.853924,
        "fair_value": 19.664735,
        "relative_strength": -9.187005,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.829683,
        "energy": 73.137605,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.646438,
          20.742499,
          20.787959,
          20.81732
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.675,
        "volume": 79021,
        "typical_volume": 102782.65,
        "trend": 20.848283,
        "fair_value": 19.682194,
        "relative_strength": -11.441677,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.442926,
        "energy": 68.247696,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}