{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47477c97-5915-4ff1-b49a-14e8391ac80d", "symbol": "2305", "name": "Microtek International, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.218, "architecture_energy": 25.373, "architecture_maturity": 74.435, "architecture_confidence": 95.623, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.8, "rotation_up": 19.43, "upward_expansion": 53.72, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 33.36, "downward_expansion": 19.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.96, 30.284545, 28.531428, 25.633978 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 26.0, "trend_reference": 21.795, "distance_from_trend": 0.192934, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.320833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.419149, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.416279, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.039216, "excess_performance": 0.693483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192934, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.465867, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.419149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.356271, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.184163, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162501, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.039216, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.810097, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13928119, "relative_activity": 0.544885, "balance": 1.810097, "dry_up": 1.331396, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.206509, "annualized_volatility": 0.817263, "from_high_reference": -0.365854, "from_low_reference": 1.6 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.795, "fair_value_reference": 18.320833, "structural_low": 11.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056075, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018077, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.105556, "worst_return": -0.109677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.38785, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.198268, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.488033, "worst_return": -0.122807, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 2.14486, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 1.497042, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.699271, "worst_return": -0.17193, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"activity_lines": [ 34.053333, 32.456364, 27.069762, 23.715699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.1, "volume": 42160995, "typical_volume": 23396968.7, "trend": 20.303333, "fair_value": 18.205769, "relative_strength": 46.356876, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.313338, "energy": 48.208857, "activity_lines": [ 32.463333, 32.507273, 27.734524, 24.38871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.5, "volume": 42891350, "typical_volume": 25047855.75, "trend": 20.821667, "fair_value": 18.238141, "relative_strength": 24.890027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.054511, "energy": 28.818894, "activity_lines": [ 30.006667, 31.698182, 27.981667, 24.788495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 29.35, "volume": 37149826, "typical_volume": 25953628.0, "trend": 21.423333, "fair_value": 18.291987, "relative_strength": 32.509636, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.273122, "energy": 25.145231, "activity_lines": [ 29.32, 31.358182, 28.444762, 25.33871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 26.0, "volume": 13928119, "typical_volume": 25561562.5, "trend": 21.795, "fair_value": 18.320833, "relative_strength": 18.416279, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.217928, "energy": 25.373045, "activity_lines": [ 27.96, 30.284545, 28.531428, 25.633978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }