{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4766a58f-5976-4914-bbe6-7ee39c568394", "symbol": "NOEM", "name": "CO2 Energy Transition Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.76, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.424, "architecture_energy": 69.784, "architecture_maturity": 7.615, "architecture_confidence": 57.887, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.95, "rotation_up": 73.24, "upward_expansion": 88.29, "deceleration": 45.84, "rotation_down": 8.63, "downward_expansion": 14.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.022173, 10.80792, 10.639341, 10.563135 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.69, "trend_reference": 10.47842, "distance_from_trend": 0.020192, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.222772, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045705, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.976017, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.03285, "excess_performance": -0.154603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020192, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012307, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.045705, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016096, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.09976, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05286, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03285, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.251762, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132619, "relative_activity": 4.551848, "balance": 0.251762, "dry_up": 1.635118, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034612, "annualized_volatility": 0.180525, "from_high_reference": -0.152932, "from_low_reference": 0.060516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.47842, "fair_value_reference": 10.222772, "structural_low": 10.33, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029946, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 9.8, "volume": 59821, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 9.87, "volume": 8914, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 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10.58, "volume": 9967, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.02, "volume": 4404, "typical_volume": 22854.6, "trend": 10.414753, "fair_value": 10.197216, "relative_strength": -2.392743, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.759199, "energy": 98.176099, "activity_lines": [ 10.671187, 10.563651, 10.494794, 10.459253 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.8, "volume": 43568, "typical_volume": 22906.85, "trend": 10.465087, "fair_value": 10.217004, "relative_strength": 4.084336, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.777314, "energy": 97.182451, "activity_lines": [ 11.07768, 10.79924, 10.623353, 10.548624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.69, "volume": 132619, "typical_volume": 29135.2, "trend": 10.47842, "fair_value": 10.222772, "relative_strength": -9.976017, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.424057, "energy": 69.784412, "activity_lines": [ 11.022173, 10.80792, 10.639341, 10.563135 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }