{ "ticker": { "uuid": "476fd3dc-8789-43bb-ac02-cf9ee0c12727", "symbol": "PRC", "name": "Artmarket.com", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.162, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -5.814, "architecture_energy": 24.12, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 54.49, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.99, "rotation_up": 45.59, "upward_expansion": 23.7, "deceleration": 41.33, "rotation_down": 18.76, "downward_expansion": 57.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.650667, 2.471273, 2.552905, 2.65228 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.84, "trend_reference": 2.806667, "distance_from_trend": 0.011876, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.159189, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.317175, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.376272, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.115265, "excess_performance": -0.168576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011876, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134457, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.317175, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019008, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.203763, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009697, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.115265, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.92212, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29554, "relative_activity": 0.928793, "balance": 1.92212, "dry_up": 1.558031, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086132, "annualized_volatility": 0.376338, "from_high_reference": -0.402105, "from_low_reference": 0.434343 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.806667, "fair_value_reference": 4.159189, "structural_low": 1.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.022222, "positive_rate": 0.410256, "directional_follow_through": 0.589744, "median_excess_return": -0.028021, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.338614, "worst_return": -0.239286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.095084, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.09204, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.269461, "worst_return": -0.198653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.127419, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.171992, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.883239, "worst_return": -0.338889, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 2.190667, 2.310727, 2.538429, 2.678129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.52, "volume": 90333, "typical_volume": 30711.2, "trend": 2.851, "fair_value": 4.205022, "relative_strength": -28.095523, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.796673, "energy": 53.945449, "activity_lines": [ 2.303333, 2.322909, 2.522095, 2.654882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.8, "volume": 36589, "typical_volume": 31863.95, "trend": 2.829333, "fair_value": 4.181369, "relative_strength": -20.604491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.501252, "energy": 19.354574, "activity_lines": [ 2.492667, 2.393636, 2.53519, 2.651591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.84, "volume": 29554, "typical_volume": 31819.8, "trend": 2.806667, "fair_value": 4.159189, "relative_strength": -20.376272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.813683, "energy": 24.12048, "activity_lines": [ 2.650667, 2.471273, 2.552905, 2.65228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }