{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4775790b-86df-4ade-93b7-524308ed0695", "symbol": "GARUDA", "name": "GARUDA CONSTRUCT N ENG L", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.377, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.848, "architecture_energy": 22.614, "architecture_maturity": 32.435, "architecture_confidence": 60.349, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.83, "rotation_up": 41.82, "upward_expansion": 72.31, "deceleration": 59.98, "rotation_down": 20.44, "downward_expansion": 1.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.307334, 175.732, 174.872286, 173.194194 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 180.5, "trend_reference": 172.014, "distance_from_trend": 0.049333, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 153.532832, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175644, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.570689, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.07961, "excess_performance": 0.123319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049333, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059603, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.029867, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.034513, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.06512, "worst_return": -0.161502, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.094966, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.111284, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.094966, "worst_return": -0.094966, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"typical_volume": 3218617.0, "trend": 172.608333, "fair_value": 153.035688, "relative_strength": -1.471795, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.398549, "energy": 26.37543, "activity_lines": [ 175.987999, 174.558, 173.790191, 172.624323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 172.800003, "volume": 967273, "typical_volume": 3127478.95, "trend": 171.858667, "fair_value": 153.245947, "relative_strength": -4.949174, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.13753, "energy": 17.138294, "activity_lines": [ 174.648667, 174.475273, 173.998477, 172.636689 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 180.5, "volume": 2148818, "typical_volume": 3058331.5, "trend": 172.014, "fair_value": 153.532832, "relative_strength": -1.570689, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.847943, "energy": 22.614485, "activity_lines": [ 176.307334, 175.732, 174.872286, 173.194194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }