{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47820bfd-19ec-4898-9f49-519a0f213274", "symbol": "PSD", "name": "Pulse Seismic Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -81.305, "architecture_energy": 84.555, "architecture_maturity": 28.77, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.69, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 19.85, "deceleration": 37.61, "rotation_down": 65.42, "downward_expansion": 93.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.142667, 3.214364, 3.342798, 3.512034 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.0, "trend_reference": 3.666114, "distance_from_trend": -0.181695, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.463029, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.218012, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.316328, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.198782, "excess_performance": -0.319203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181695, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027007, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.218012, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.344807, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.233163, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.173867, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.198782, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.167721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 179900, "relative_activity": 1.008776, "balance": 0.167721, "dry_up": 0.839712, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061282, "annualized_volatility": 0.320074, "from_high_reference": -0.40979, "from_low_reference": 0.158315 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.666114, "fair_value_reference": 2.463029, "structural_low": 2.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.010695, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.010931, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.19375, "worst_return": -0.05946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.019998, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.008808, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.301071, "worst_return": -0.034415, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.082446, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.010686, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.193639, "worst_return": -0.049989, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-32.165832, "energy": 47.173298, "activity_lines": [ 3.326667, 3.337666, 3.587134, 3.667378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.35, "volume": 116200, "typical_volume": 254535.0, "trend": 3.668399, "fair_value": 2.416129, "relative_strength": -14.091988, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.658569, "energy": 44.433736, "activity_lines": [ 3.340667, 3.327656, 3.54589, 3.647616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.21, "volume": 121900, "typical_volume": 236725.0, "trend": 3.677426, "fair_value": 2.42911, "relative_strength": -17.224347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.092133, "energy": 46.862159, "activity_lines": [ 3.299333, 3.301636, 3.493145, 3.618042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.19, "volume": 148600, "typical_volume": 225210.0, "trend": 3.68029, "fair_value": 2.441283, "relative_strength": -17.55529, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.878775, "energy": 50.746877, "activity_lines": [ 3.26, 3.278727, 3.442841, 3.586595 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.2, "volume": 148600, "typical_volume": 199805.0, "trend": 3.675404, "fair_value": 2.453393, "relative_strength": -16.322452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.857072, "energy": 68.009296, "activity_lines": [ 3.229333, 3.262909, 3.399223, 3.555608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.0, "volume": 179900, "typical_volume": 178335.0, "trend": 3.666114, "fair_value": 2.463029, "relative_strength": -23.316328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.305497, "energy": 84.55516, "activity_lines": [ 3.142667, 3.214364, 3.342798, 3.512034 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }