{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47857c72-b08b-4938-bf23-1e8daba3177f", "symbol": "BEI", "name": "LHT Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.513, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -48.814, "architecture_energy": 58.677, "architecture_maturity": 18.479, "architecture_confidence": 69.163, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.09, "rotation_up": 21.55, "upward_expansion": 20.0, "deceleration": 45.92, "rotation_down": 66.38, "downward_expansion": 61.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.755333, 0.772273, 0.804716, 0.818051 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.73, "trend_reference": 0.816542, "distance_from_trend": -0.105986, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.723846, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008502, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.811711, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.012403, "excess_performance": -0.142433, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.105986, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025651, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008502, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294728, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.218117, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271039, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012403, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215649, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8100, "relative_activity": 0.081423, "balance": 0.215649, "dry_up": 0.115099, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062171, "annualized_volatility": 0.288884, "from_high_reference": -0.255102, "from_low_reference": 0.174648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.816542, "fair_value_reference": 0.723846, "structural_low": 0.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.03261, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.035728, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.027933, "worst_return": -0.046875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.027056, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.061148, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.027933, "worst_return": 0.026178, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.108397, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.054779, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.117318, "worst_return": 0.099476, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.141143, 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"2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.177447, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.057692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020619, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.005236, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.026177, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.005406, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.794823, "energy": 47.483805, "activity_lines": [ 0.806333, 0.822952, 0.845625, 0.834266 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.755, "volume": 39400, "typical_volume": 143520.0, "trend": 0.809655, "fair_value": 0.716797, "relative_strength": -17.690073, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.265925, "energy": 53.521547, "activity_lines": [ 0.787, 0.807273, 0.836381, 0.830864 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.81, "volume": 11500, "typical_volume": 123020.0, "trend": 0.81315, "fair_value": 0.718819, "relative_strength": -11.882084, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.453527, "energy": 27.407535, "activity_lines": [ 0.792333, 0.804091, 0.832309, 0.830886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.755, "volume": 7900, "typical_volume": 106010.0, "trend": 0.814282, "fair_value": 0.720509, "relative_strength": -18.564529, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.624765, "energy": 37.390042, "activity_lines": [ 0.779, 0.792727, 0.823125, 0.827135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.76, "volume": 18300, "typical_volume": 101265.0, "trend": 0.816509, "fair_value": 0.722315, "relative_strength": -18.125827, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.257493, "energy": 38.544342, "activity_lines": [ 0.770667, 0.784545, 0.815034, 0.823633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.73, "volume": 8100, "typical_volume": 99480.0, "trend": 0.816542, "fair_value": 0.723846, "relative_strength": -21.811711, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.813726, "energy": 58.677189, "activity_lines": [ 0.755333, 0.772273, 0.804716, 0.818051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }