{ "ticker": { "uuid": "478e456e-0ba4-4271-a27b-282d54d6f65e", "symbol": "300295", "name": "Everyday Network Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 94.219, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 4.375, "architecture_energy": 11.671, "architecture_maturity": 21.038, "architecture_confidence": 55.739, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.4, "rotation_up": 35.5, "upward_expansion": 32.09, "deceleration": 44.0, "rotation_down": 27.1, "downward_expansion": 49.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.177333, 10.806182, 10.961, 10.949054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.28, "trend_reference": 11.182, "distance_from_trend": 0.098194, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.096987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.06238, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.859126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.023071, "excess_performance": -0.030471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098194, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074031, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.06238, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000397, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228695, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.023071, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.424228, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13830547, "relative_activity": 0.603565, "balance": 1.424228, "dry_up": 0.64703, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085881, "annualized_volatility": 0.441289, "from_high_reference": -0.215837, "from_low_reference": 0.364444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.182, "fair_value_reference": 13.096987, "structural_low": 9.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.016423, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.001307, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.890355, "worst_return": -0.185262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.023767, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.054151, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 1.10161, "worst_return": -0.274756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.105871, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.044999, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.185146, "worst_return": -0.40608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.115803, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.182632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.481687, "worst_return": -0.39582, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078278, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.10251, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.015464, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119863, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.011757, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.208068, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.087751, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.018268, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.12622, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.062969, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042517, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.140291, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114313, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 14.36, "volume": 93741161, "typical_volume": 69364455.95, "trend": 11.730667, "fair_value": 11.089167, "relative_strength": 39.052255, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.240711, "energy": 55.638246, "activity_lines": [ 10.283333, 10.724182, 10.886048, 11.037914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.95, "volume": 10183247, "typical_volume": 24282756.7, "trend": 11.328333, "fair_value": 13.120064, "relative_strength": -20.785049, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.803403, "energy": 58.334904, "activity_lines": [ 10.142, 10.505273, 10.806048, 10.942559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.96, "volume": 13224674, "typical_volume": 23392654.8, "trend": 11.220667, "fair_value": 13.105321, "relative_strength": -19.938279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.963243, "energy": 53.9412, "activity_lines": [ 10.047333, 10.333818, 10.732143, 10.85428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.6, "volume": 22067736, "typical_volume": 23576512.05, "trend": 11.190333, "fair_value": 13.097949, "relative_strength": -4.353645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.796352, "energy": 18.045624, "activity_lines": [ 10.550667, 10.506727, 10.817048, 10.878753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.28, "volume": 13830547, "typical_volume": 22914774.4, "trend": 11.182, "fair_value": 13.096987, "relative_strength": -2.859126, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.3753, "energy": 11.670818, "activity_lines": [ 11.177333, 10.806182, 10.961, 10.949054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }