{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4796d98d-24bd-4433-977f-bc607285babd",
    "symbol": "TMOS34",
    "name": "Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 63.577,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 53.038,
    "architecture_energy": 74.176,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.485,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.084,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.49,
        "rotation_up": 79.37,
        "upward_expansion": 68.67,
        "deceleration": 18.26,
        "rotation_down": 16.44,
        "downward_expansion": 24.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        60.311334,
        57.865747,
        54.450203,
        53.78687
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 62.389999,
    "trend_reference": 54.557444,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.143565,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 58.402074,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.068284,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.99228,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069772,
    "excess_performance": 0.12682,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143565,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058055,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068284,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254736,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039923,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322982,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069772,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.660729,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23447,
      "relative_activity": 1.026619,
      "balance": 1.660729,
      "dry_up": 1.118315,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.359381,
      "from_high_reference": -0.132529,
      "from_low_reference": 0.366967
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.557444,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.402074,
      "structural_low": 45.641177,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.040612,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055689,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.173937,
        "worst_return": -0.053435,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.147783,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.109544,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.176952,
        "worst_return": -0.172416,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.099741,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.070432,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.26066,
        "worst_return": -0.022622,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.067912,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.268338,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.263871,
        "worst_return": -0.126239,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.01639,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.061312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.163722,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.162558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.088349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.113256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.096678,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 59618.75,
        "trend": 56.674572,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "direction": 7.4853,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.889999,
        "volume": 65415,
        "typical_volume": 23402.65,
        "trend": 55.200913,
        "fair_value": 58.28908,
        "relative_strength": -6.609775,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.125476,
        "energy": 45.587767,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.990002,
        "volume": 8281,
        "typical_volume": 23551.0,
        "trend": 54.996726,
        "fair_value": 58.321139,
        "relative_strength": -1.32565,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.629781,
        "energy": 66.735702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.790001,
        "volume": 5022,
        "typical_volume": 22857.35,
        "trend": 54.779898,
        "fair_value": 58.356861,
        "relative_strength": -1.903375,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.365048,
        "energy": 70.872685,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.881334,
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          53.295895
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.389999,
        "volume": 23447,
        "typical_volume": 22839.05,
        "trend": 54.557444,
        "fair_value": 58.402074,
        "relative_strength": 3.99228,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 53.037545,
        "energy": 74.176241,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}