{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47ab6af5-297e-40f1-b873-3bca06666028", "symbol": "600681", "name": "Bestsun Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.852, "architecture_energy": 42.753, "architecture_maturity": 88.362, "architecture_confidence": 65.709, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 26.96, "upward_expansion": 18.87, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 36.89, "downward_expansion": 64.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.406, 3.396364, 3.54236, 3.716874 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.42, "trend_reference": 3.915068, "distance_from_trend": -0.126452, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.564936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040656, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.72573, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.211982, "excess_performance": -0.168778, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.126452, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07454, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040656, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177762, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080513, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211982, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.269627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 111769295, "relative_activity": 0.86507, "balance": 0.269627, "dry_up": 0.777614, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061109, "annualized_volatility": 0.358768, "from_high_reference": -0.4, "from_low_reference": 0.065421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.915068, "fair_value_reference": 3.564936, "structural_low": 3.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.007087, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.010987, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.349552, "worst_return": -0.101475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.001799, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.031498, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.178958, "worst_return": -0.162683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.123772, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.055345, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.354987, "worst_return": -0.095694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 3.376667, 3.445968, 3.667532, 3.827489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.31, "volume": 110295535, "typical_volume": 153756819.9, "trend": 3.966735, "fair_value": 3.571413, "relative_strength": -14.129465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.91814, "energy": 61.898895, "activity_lines": [ 3.362, 3.40456, 3.612046, 3.783441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.46, "volume": 84418120, "typical_volume": 138612514.8, "trend": 3.945068, "fair_value": 3.568493, "relative_strength": -10.490503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.132914, "energy": 51.571081, "activity_lines": [ 3.398667, 3.400926, 3.576656, 3.750749 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.42, "volume": 111769295, "typical_volume": 129202603.95, "trend": 3.915068, "fair_value": 3.564936, "relative_strength": -13.72573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.851696, "energy": 42.753186, "activity_lines": [ 3.406, 3.396364, 3.54236, 3.716874 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }