{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47c15f01-5336-4558-b28f-912c197a7981", "symbol": "ALBIO", "name": "Biosynex SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.757, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 8.016, "architecture_energy": 4.261, "architecture_maturity": 16.695, "architecture_confidence": 59.676, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.16, "rotation_up": 29.37, "upward_expansion": 36.75, "deceleration": 63.64, "rotation_down": 33.61, "downward_expansion": 15.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.908667, 0.903891, 0.917976, 0.911968 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.904, "trend_reference": 0.907567, "distance_from_trend": -0.00393, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.223141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.719528, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.389517, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.113725, "excess_performance": -0.167037, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00393, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154469, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.719528, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003456, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003895, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166126, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.113725, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.439263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25164, "relative_activity": 0.137429, "balance": 0.439263, "dry_up": 0.152156, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146869, "annualized_volatility": 0.551761, "from_high_reference": -0.424204, "from_low_reference": 0.986813 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.907567, "fair_value_reference": 3.223141, "structural_low": 0.7, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.075745, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.214286, "median_excess_return": -0.088773, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.150215, "worst_return": -0.222892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.182017, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.149959, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": -0.037352, "worst_return": -0.686265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.233457, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.129416, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.060783, "worst_return": -0.600482, "sufficient": true }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2023-10-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.178431, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2023-11-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111617, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-11-24", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.547763, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.24778, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.33494, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2026-01-16", 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"balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.425149, "energy": 12.505701, "activity_lines": [ 0.8924, 0.922964, 0.914214, 0.904587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.892, "volume": 25369, "typical_volume": 184329.15, "trend": 0.874433, "fair_value": 3.411962, "relative_strength": 0.654465, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.253724, "energy": 7.882844, "activity_lines": [ 0.891467, 0.911236, 0.913543, 0.906335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.92, "volume": 42597, "typical_volume": 183019.05, "trend": 0.885433, "fair_value": 3.348372, "relative_strength": 4.263734, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.102219, "energy": 6.747635, "activity_lines": [ 0.901067, 0.908382, 0.915729, 0.909275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.92, "volume": 18312, "typical_volume": 182746.95, "trend": 0.896833, "fair_value": 3.284654, "relative_strength": 3.59314, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.102159, "energy": 9.631945, "activity_lines": [ 0.9084, 0.906545, 0.917771, 0.911505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.904, "volume": 25164, "typical_volume": 183105.1, "trend": 0.907567, "fair_value": 3.223141, "relative_strength": 0.389517, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.016309, "energy": 4.260627, "activity_lines": [ 0.908667, 0.903891, 0.917976, 0.911968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }