{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47c1c55b-4186-45d8-a8f4-1b33b1a2279e", "symbol": "ALGEV", "name": "G\u00e9velot SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.057, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.052, "architecture_energy": 32.195, "architecture_maturity": 61.691, "architecture_confidence": 80.293, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.75, "rotation_up": 33.86, "upward_expansion": 59.58, "deceleration": 87.81, "rotation_down": 27.54, "downward_expansion": 20.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 196.2, 196.35724, 195.966493, 191.095104 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 197.0, "trend_reference": 184.647533, "distance_from_trend": 0.066898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 190.722879, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032912, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.127735, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152047, "excess_performance": 0.098735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039698, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.032912, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011277, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078478, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152047, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.041786, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.041786, "dry_up": 0.004662, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024629, "annualized_volatility": 0.19217, "from_high_reference": -0.074916, "from_low_reference": 0.208589 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.647533, "fair_value_reference": 190.722879, "structural_low": 163.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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1815.9, "trend": 178.242903, "fair_value": 189.486611, "relative_strength": 5.764763, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.347764, "energy": 87.673299, "activity_lines": [ 200.450009, 195.181994, 185.747051, 181.752154 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 205.138901, "volume": 83, "typical_volume": 1718.3, "trend": 179.1142, "fair_value": 189.7009, "relative_strength": 9.16204, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.188445, "energy": 71.433318, "activity_lines": [ 201.882726, 197.983847, 188.173198, 183.48738 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 199.0, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 1670.05, "trend": 179.780867, "fair_value": 189.857891, "relative_strength": 5.090341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.079457, "energy": 63.453431, "activity_lines": [ 200.748155, 199.085192, 189.852122, 184.770334 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 196.0, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 1650.45, "trend": 180.347533, "fair_value": 189.983292, "relative_strength": 4.025579, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.356637, "energy": 53.685231, "activity_lines": [ 199.022844, 199.20472, 191.126284, 185.81673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 195.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1647.9, "trend": 180.947533, "fair_value": 190.102283, "relative_strength": 2.093891, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.549356, "energy": 48.697919, "activity_lines": [ 197.443212, 198.846806, 192.18616, 186.762051 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 195.0, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 1615.4, "trend": 181.5142, "fair_value": 190.221274, "relative_strength": 4.220273, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.479674, "energy": 36.135894, "activity_lines": [ 196.40926, 198.246974, 193.117465, 187.668661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 195.0, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 1592.15, "trend": 182.4142, "fair_value": 190.340265, "relative_strength": 4.268768, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.729826, "energy": 29.92047, "activity_lines": [ 195.4, 197.440744, 193.92496, 188.538713 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 195.0, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 1577.1, "trend": 183.147533, "fair_value": 190.471483, "relative_strength": 3.937509, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.393605, "energy": 25.426877, "activity_lines": [ 195.066667, 196.67677, 194.627693, 189.3507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 197.0, "volume": 21, "typical_volume": 1557.95, "trend": 183.8142, "fair_value": 190.603294, "relative_strength": 3.429817, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.960077, "energy": 27.21238, "activity_lines": [ 195.666667, 196.460776, 195.378046, 190.244408 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 197.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1555.0, "trend": 184.647533, "fair_value": 190.722879, "relative_strength": 1.127735, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.0523, "energy": 32.195314, "activity_lines": [ 196.2, 196.35724, 195.966493, 191.095104 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }