{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47cd4dc9-73fe-43e7-91ac-d242841f423b", "symbol": "3310", "name": "Chialin Precision Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 52.896, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.09, "architecture_energy": 5.99, "architecture_maturity": 29.426, "architecture_confidence": 48.931, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.15, "rotation_up": 23.54, "upward_expansion": 26.2, "deceleration": 40.2, "rotation_down": 30.64, "downward_expansion": 48.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.900002, 67.614547, 67.605859, 68.03903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 68.800003, "trend_reference": 68.930795, "distance_from_trend": -0.001897, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 77.964474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.117547, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.479042, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.009519, "excess_performance": -0.450891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001897, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013492, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.117547, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03592, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.27479, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07645, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.009519, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.072049, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 148145, "relative_activity": 0.20249, "balance": 0.072049, "dry_up": 0.101195, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064375, "annualized_volatility": 0.275675, "from_high_reference": -0.185753, "from_low_reference": 0.191188 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.930795, "fair_value_reference": 77.964474, "structural_low": 62.800555, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.026529, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.013569, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.21978, "worst_return": -0.101523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.053011, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.107627, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.081044, "worst_return": -0.149238, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.127279, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.162885, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.20467, "worst_return": -0.159783, 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"volume": 106000, "typical_volume": 989833.35, "trend": 70.61495, "fair_value": 78.220657, "relative_strength": -27.20606, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.829595, "energy": 20.46887, "activity_lines": [ 67.426666, 67.537467, 67.702513, 68.5887 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 67.300003, "volume": 32000, "typical_volume": 983583.1, "trend": 70.092522, "fair_value": 78.148666, "relative_strength": -28.109047, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.118088, "energy": 14.120561, "activity_lines": [ 67.56, 67.433864, 67.601463, 68.374832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.800003, "volume": 72000, "typical_volume": 981132.75, "trend": 69.591488, "fair_value": 78.069521, "relative_strength": -26.823323, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.345409, "energy": 14.180791, "activity_lines": [ 67.426668, 67.218095, 67.484834, 68.162412 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.0, "volume": 44000, "typical_volume": 977472.4, "trend": 69.120938, "fair_value": 78.011047, "relative_strength": -26.65141, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.697318, "energy": 14.096541, "activity_lines": [ 67.546668, 67.336364, 67.502866, 68.059735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 68.800003, "volume": 148145, "typical_volume": 731616.75, "trend": 68.930795, "fair_value": 77.964474, "relative_strength": -27.479042, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.08956, "energy": 5.989639, "activity_lines": [ 67.900002, 67.614547, 67.605859, 68.03903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }