{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "47d179cc-b2e9-4051-a02f-33c8cb4c83b8",
    "symbol": "ZUT",
    "name": "BMO Equal Weight Utilities Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 62.529,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.616,
    "architecture_energy": 35.764,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.349,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.698,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.83,
        "rotation_up": 39.42,
        "upward_expansion": 66.94,
        "deceleration": 65.38,
        "rotation_down": 29.65,
        "downward_expansion": 19.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.982517,
        30.056149,
        29.797149,
        29.347749
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 29.23,
    "trend_reference": 28.545142,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.023992,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 22.582732,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294352,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.379148,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125327,
    "excess_performance": 0.004906,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023992,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054717,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294352,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024895,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043791,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036217,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125327,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.746069,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 306600,
      "relative_activity": 1.545558,
      "balance": 1.746069,
      "dry_up": 1.475236,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020522,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.148909,
      "from_high_reference": -0.058065,
      "from_low_reference": 0.222481
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.545142,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.582732,
      "structural_low": 25.845889,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.009937,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002881,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.055037,
        "worst_return": -0.08558,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.009029,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.091044,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.187092,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "trend": 27.883393,
        "fair_value": 22.317821,
        "relative_strength": 1.162071,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 204630.0,
        "trend": 28.053838,
        "fair_value": 22.38098,
        "relative_strength": 1.674102,
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        "direction": 69.413799,
        "energy": 69.743766,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.882204,
        "volume": 210500,
        "typical_volume": 198545.0,
        "trend": 28.239205,
        "fair_value": 22.450901,
        "relative_strength": 3.635503,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 84.798512,
        "energy": 70.489054,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.09,
        "volume": 504400,
        "typical_volume": 213240.0,
        "trend": 28.404695,
        "fair_value": 22.519836,
        "relative_strength": 1.500704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.510674,
        "energy": 57.790271,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.327441,
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          29.294503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 29.23,
        "volume": 306600,
        "typical_volume": 198375.0,
        "trend": 28.545142,
        "fair_value": 22.582732,
        "relative_strength": -4.379148,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.615528,
        "energy": 35.764021,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}