{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47de40f0-3adf-4db2-ba32-65cec1446a43", "symbol": "000903", "name": "Kunming Yunnei Power Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.193, "architecture_energy": 53.661, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.68, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 25.46, "upward_expansion": 8.58, "deceleration": 56.5, "rotation_down": 54.21, "downward_expansion": 81.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.773333, 1.806909, 1.904667, 2.06 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.87, "trend_reference": 2.261, "distance_from_trend": -0.172932, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.721859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.31297, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.284805, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.283525, "excess_performance": -0.290925, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172932, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128597, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.31297, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100356, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144714, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.283525, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.573858, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 124949320, "relative_activity": 1.10326, "balance": 0.573858, "dry_up": 0.956685, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097491, "annualized_volatility": 0.374219, "from_high_reference": -0.42284, "from_low_reference": 0.246667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.261, "fair_value_reference": 2.721859, "structural_low": 1.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.006944, "positive_rate": 0.485714, "directional_follow_through": 0.514286, "median_excess_return": -0.004029, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 0.41954, "worst_return": -0.233607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.031988, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.048673, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.794118, "worst_return": -0.275735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.055556, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.020501, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.141176, "worst_return": -0.231481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 117248308.3, "trend": 2.318, "fair_value": 2.73, "relative_strength": -34.844547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.921546, "energy": 60.412722, "activity_lines": [ 1.76, 1.819818, 1.963238, 2.124151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.74, "volume": 74922329, "typical_volume": 114508576.65, "trend": 2.286333, "fair_value": 2.725321, "relative_strength": -31.690727, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.375954, "energy": 65.830105, "activity_lines": [ 1.742667, 1.800364, 1.925429, 2.08686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.87, "volume": 124949320, "typical_volume": 113254613.45, "trend": 2.261, "fair_value": 2.721859, "relative_strength": -29.284805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.19316, "energy": 53.661473, "activity_lines": [ 1.773333, 1.806909, 1.904667, 2.06 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }