{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "47df0182-25dd-4361-87f8-6424d242029d",
    "symbol": "FBNC",
    "name": "First Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.123,
    "architecture_energy": 46.98,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.898,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.081,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.24,
        "rotation_up": 55.07,
        "upward_expansion": 79.46,
        "deceleration": 61.68,
        "rotation_down": 22.34,
        "downward_expansion": 6.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.708667,
        63.339892,
        61.655406,
        60.436437
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 64.67,
    "trend_reference": 59.317946,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090227,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.150325,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.498714,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.249354,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.043635,
    "excess_performance": -0.143818,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090227,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068417,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.498714,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051806,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012494,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064255,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043635,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.20591,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 947795,
      "relative_activity": 0.832059,
      "balance": 2.20591,
      "dry_up": 1.125214,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045075,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.222523,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028103,
      "from_low_reference": 0.419485
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.317946,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.150325,
      "structural_low": 51.809339,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.007068,
        "positive_rate": 0.409091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039342,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.135927,
        "worst_return": -0.127031,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.017581,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030569,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.167093,
        "worst_return": -0.130716,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.017807,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030132,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.162656,
        "worst_return": -0.299051,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.066952,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.032644,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.355284,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -0.104185,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1147330.6,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 74.007632,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.74,
        "volume": 1402527,
        "typical_volume": 1173101.45,
        "trend": 58.537496,
        "fair_value": 42.731601,
        "relative_strength": 4.009483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.239863,
        "energy": 57.213362,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 62.87,
        "volume": 1050235,
        "typical_volume": 1162317.05,
        "trend": 58.94336,
        "fair_value": 42.931121,
        "relative_strength": 3.544931,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.350586,
        "energy": 44.825175,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.322667,
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          61.17338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.67,
        "volume": 947795,
        "typical_volume": 1139095.25,
        "trend": 59.317946,
        "fair_value": 43.150325,
        "relative_strength": 1.249354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.123251,
        "energy": 46.979753,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}