{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47eaccbf-1aee-4105-8cc6-9ad6e3d759b2", "symbol": "I1FF34", "name": "International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.031, "architecture_energy": 71.108, "architecture_maturity": 51.912, "architecture_confidence": 84.098, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.54, "rotation_up": 71.58, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 62.41, "rotation_down": 22.18, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 200.720001, 199.499956, 194.898451, 192.067843 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 201.600006, "trend_reference": 188.87874, "distance_from_trend": 0.067351, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 209.560367, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.037986, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.394197, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095553, "excess_performance": 0.152601, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067351, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033435, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.037986, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078544, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043942, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.222441, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095553, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 3.053892, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012287, "annualized_volatility": 0.076753, "from_high_reference": -0.057239, "from_low_reference": 0.215738 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 188.87874, "fair_value_reference": 209.560367, "structural_low": 184.016663, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.004318, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.227435, "worst_return": -0.158847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.028216, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.055252, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.248125, "worst_return": -0.192774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.067125, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037983, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.384507, "worst_return": -0.278977, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.038932, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.115962, "energy": 69.51215, "activity_lines": [ 199.279996, 197.33808, 192.687217, 190.312948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 201.600006, "volume": 101, "typical_volume": 8.35, "trend": 188.292629, "fair_value": 209.215175, "relative_strength": 0.590487, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.621144, "energy": 73.463917, "activity_lines": [ 200.093332, 198.578384, 193.834699, 191.209303 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 201.600006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.35, "trend": 188.87874, "fair_value": 209.560367, "relative_strength": 4.394197, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.030983, "energy": 71.107829, "activity_lines": [ 200.720001, 199.499956, 194.898451, 192.067843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }