{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47f346df-748a-4edc-95f6-fb54beedb1cf", "symbol": "WONDERLA", "name": "Wonderla Holidays Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.048, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.33, "architecture_energy": 32.324, "architecture_maturity": 24.392, "architecture_confidence": 86.767, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.38, "rotation_up": 24.6, "upward_expansion": 6.34, "deceleration": 45.01, "rotation_down": 44.46, "downward_expansion": 75.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 478.464952, 479.990632, 485.736456, 491.703175 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 493.149994, "trend_reference": 497.535402, "distance_from_trend": -0.008814, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 710.021329, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.305443, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.497297, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.023369, "excess_performance": 0.02034, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008814, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038895, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.305443, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064973, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01844, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.023369, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.827318, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2078866, "relative_activity": 5.361989, "balance": 1.827318, "dry_up": 1.682303, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045005, "annualized_volatility": 0.240121, "from_high_reference": -0.251669, "from_low_reference": 0.085464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 497.535402, "fair_value_reference": 710.021329, "structural_low": 454.3219, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.0122, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.00371, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.093497, "worst_return": -0.170654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.035999, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.071205, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.185635, "worst_return": -0.228677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.137312, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.143904, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.122543, "worst_return": -0.162863, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 51.738417, "activity_lines": [ 472.73576, 477.324489, 486.052228, 492.049976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 493.149994, "volume": 2078866, "typical_volume": 387704.3, "trend": 497.535402, "fair_value": 710.021329, "relative_strength": -6.497297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.329881, "energy": 32.324221, "activity_lines": [ 478.464952, 479.990632, 485.736456, 491.703175 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }