{ "ticker": { "uuid": "47f5b4c1-5a86-4e9b-9cbf-56c7e154cc1c", "symbol": "HIMS", "name": "HIMS & HERS HEALTH INC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.824, "architecture_energy": 23.071, "architecture_maturity": 69.588, "architecture_confidence": 69.956, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.04, "rotation_up": 22.98, "upward_expansion": 55.69, "deceleration": 91.05, "rotation_down": 33.73, "downward_expansion": 21.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 522.265334, 546.384185, 519.631526, 486.673744 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 535.049988, "trend_reference": 453.984334, "distance_from_trend": 0.178565, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 652.22942, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.17966, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.899215, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.340977, "excess_performance": 0.395644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078982, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.17966, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106338, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148992, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.280472, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.340977, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341962, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8170, "relative_activity": 0.510989, "balance": 0.341962, "dry_up": 0.573971, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139773, "annualized_volatility": 1.184322, "from_high_reference": -0.554129, "from_low_reference": 1.229375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 453.984334, "fair_value_reference": 652.22942, "structural_low": 240.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.863492, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041195, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.162333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 322.5, "volume": 1373, "typical_volume": null, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 499.730011, "volume": 12761, "typical_volume": 18075.4, "trend": 459.352334, "fair_value": 655.094855, "relative_strength": -23.336089, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.103541, "energy": 44.643708, "activity_lines": [ 562.638678, 555.849644, 514.46248, 480.196906 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 480.0, "volume": 5249, "typical_volume": 16544.7, "trend": 455.306667, "fair_value": 653.378238, "relative_strength": -24.979907, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.756296, "energy": 21.431718, "activity_lines": [ 529.558675, 546.776007, 514.514194, 481.529013 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 535.049988, "volume": 8170, "typical_volume": 15988.6, "trend": 453.984334, "fair_value": 652.22942, "relative_strength": -14.899215, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.824133, "energy": 23.070656, "activity_lines": [ 522.265334, 546.384185, 519.631526, 486.673744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }