{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "47f8ebab-c825-4140-a018-875c6f4fdc3e",
    "symbol": "LIT",
    "name": "Livium Ltd",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.837,
    "architecture_energy": 43.348,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.984,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.324,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.99,
        "rotation_up": 16.41,
        "upward_expansion": 6.21,
        "deceleration": 45.65,
        "rotation_down": 55.01,
        "downward_expansion": 77.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.008267,
        0.008455,
        0.008914,
        0.009144
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.008,
    "trend_reference": 0.00955,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.162304,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.017862,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.552126,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.300658,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.272727,
    "excess_performance": -0.336433,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162304,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068293,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.552126,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001047,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273007,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117769,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272727,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.262985,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15153568,
      "relative_activity": 2.022963,
      "balance": 0.262985,
      "dry_up": 1.497281,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.149038,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.617257,
      "from_high_reference": -0.555556,
      "from_low_reference": 0.142857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.00955,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.017862,
      "structural_low": 0.007,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": -0.033908,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03531,
        "regime_survival": 0.863636,
        "best_return": 0.267857,
        "worst_return": -0.357143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.15,
        "positive_rate": 0.133333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.866667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.200852,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.352941,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.221464,
        "positive_rate": 0.125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.292551,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.470588,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.416667,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.557143,
        "sufficient": true
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 7257192.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.008,
        "volume": 17338486,
        "typical_volume": 6977720.6,
        "trend": 0.00965,
        "fair_value": 0.018119,
        "relative_strength": -25.30671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.583292,
        "energy": 37.017169,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.008467,
          0.008591,
          0.009036,
          0.009251
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.008,
        "volume": 15153568,
        "typical_volume": 7490779.3,
        "trend": 0.00955,
        "fair_value": 0.017862,
        "relative_strength": -27.300658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.837156,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}