{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "47ff6a05-ba24-496a-889f-cc1a7baaccb4",
    "symbol": "IYG",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST U.S. FINL SERVICES ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 70.012,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.486,
    "architecture_energy": 89.487,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.584,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.385,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.17,
        "rotation_up": 82.36,
        "upward_expansion": 99.22,
        "deceleration": 39.38,
        "rotation_down": 11.22,
        "downward_expansion": 21.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        95.486333,
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        91.478597,
        89.75808
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 96.84,
    "trend_reference": 88.454204,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094804,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 74.864171,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.293543,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.627421,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.058917,
    "excess_performance": -0.066708,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094804,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009747,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.293543,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083455,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026274,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086273,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058917,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.550822,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 327508,
      "relative_activity": 0.588152,
      "balance": 2.550822,
      "dry_up": 0.696178,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025187,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.154293,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013347,
      "from_low_reference": 0.215615
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 88.454204,
      "fair_value_reference": 74.864171,
      "structural_low": 79.663369,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.005379,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005553,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
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        "worst_return": -0.153212,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.101658,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.104601,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 73.247085,
        "relative_strength": -4.729665,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 569635.8,
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        "fair_value": 73.522825,
        "relative_strength": -3.330402,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1313692,
        "typical_volume": 612933.75,
        "trend": 88.110625,
        "fair_value": 73.788894,
        "relative_strength": -4.17565,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.070044,
        "energy": 73.199745,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 94.5,
        "volume": 391602,
        "typical_volume": 604396.7,
        "trend": 88.207256,
        "fair_value": 74.050131,
        "relative_strength": -1.590417,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.864395,
        "energy": 87.027918,
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          93.218,
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          89.249428,
          88.337464
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 94.465,
        "volume": 518147,
        "typical_volume": 599462.4,
        "trend": 88.246048,
        "fair_value": 74.311308,
        "relative_strength": -0.884403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.699062,
        "energy": 88.559653,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.879,
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          89.940541,
          88.74119
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 95.52,
        "volume": 313390,
        "typical_volume": 569315.85,
        "trend": 88.352154,
        "fair_value": 74.582184,
        "relative_strength": -0.726639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.60154,
        "energy": 89.268242,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.638,
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          90.681278,
          89.210477
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 96.84,
        "volume": 327508,
        "typical_volume": 556842.85,
        "trend": 88.454204,
        "fair_value": 74.864171,
        "relative_strength": -2.627421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.486282,
        "energy": 89.487387,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}