{ "ticker": { "uuid": "481e4684-7cef-4f06-819d-daa0286f2523", "symbol": "300348", "name": "Shenzhen Sunline Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.556, "architecture_energy": 53.852, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 71.293, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.49, "rotation_up": 27.71, "upward_expansion": 21.86, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 48.75, "downward_expansion": 74.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.138, 9.053636, 9.829301, 10.724549 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.57, "trend_reference": 11.95014, "distance_from_trend": -0.199173, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.020338, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.203849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.956413, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.311511, "excess_performance": -0.318911, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199173, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12287, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.203849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208206, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.309564, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028982, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.311511, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.607053, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107050738, "relative_activity": 1.397582, "balance": 0.607053, "dry_up": 1.384044, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083845, "annualized_volatility": 0.384393, "from_high_reference": -0.487687, "from_low_reference": 0.185874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.95014, "fair_value_reference": 12.020338, "structural_low": 8.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.027778, "positive_rate": 0.575758, "directional_follow_through": 0.424242, "median_excess_return": -0.007068, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.444291, "worst_return": -0.296875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.022513, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.039641, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.512705, "worst_return": -0.303479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.067808, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.019491, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.118572, "worst_return": -0.278141, "sufficient": true }, 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.5815, "energy": 91.356905, "activity_lines": [ 8.683333, 9.142112, 10.390456, 11.321414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.5, "volume": 125736222, "typical_volume": 79735083.0, "trend": 12.30414, "fair_value": 12.026504, "relative_strength": -38.405073, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.135676, "energy": 77.238147, "activity_lines": [ 8.561333, 8.934156, 10.11196, 11.063986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.62, "volume": 108708510, "typical_volume": 78512255.5, "trend": 12.14714, "fair_value": 12.022846, "relative_strength": -28.081606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.670319, "energy": 64.538222, "activity_lines": [ 8.882667, 8.985692, 9.963749, 10.890816 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.57, "volume": 107050738, "typical_volume": 76597081.25, "trend": 11.95014, "fair_value": 12.020338, "relative_strength": -30.956413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.556107, "energy": 53.852056, "activity_lines": [ 9.138, 9.053636, 9.829301, 10.724549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }