{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4826847e-3d05-407d-9e36-f660adb817cc",
    "symbol": "FIZZ",
    "name": "National Beverage Corp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 74.105,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.151,
    "architecture_energy": 26.385,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.119,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.638,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.05,
        "rotation_up": 21.71,
        "upward_expansion": 14.27,
        "deceleration": 65.75,
        "rotation_down": 38.06,
        "downward_expansion": 61.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.471529,
        31.35113,
        32.56504,
        33.202289
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 32.13,
    "trend_reference": 33.902187,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.052274,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 41.561223,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226924,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.087102,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.089802,
    "excess_performance": -0.277255,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052274,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011752,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226924,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048604,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.200871,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038843,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089802,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.462541,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1599402,
      "relative_activity": 0.878022,
      "balance": 1.462541,
      "dry_up": 1.259472,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083348,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.247178,
      "from_high_reference": -0.316211,
      "from_low_reference": 0.153964
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.902187,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.561223,
      "structural_low": 27.84315,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.026651,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003687,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.210918,
        "worst_return": -0.09074,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.061718,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044069,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.217295,
        "worst_return": -0.159989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.06242,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.066696,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302884,
        "worst_return": -0.104537,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.0213,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.318957,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.185101,
        "worst_return": -0.264234,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.042465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1231108.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 42.49304,
        "relative_strength": -16.639855,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 52.760534,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 33.447999,
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        "typical_volume": 1276136.35,
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        "relative_strength": -24.442867,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 42.229168,
        "relative_strength": -30.151721,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": -48.015133,
        "energy": 50.398655,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 30.179258,
        "volume": 3674925,
        "typical_volume": 1508034.9,
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        "fair_value": 42.124184,
        "relative_strength": -28.509847,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.622938,
        "volume": 3807671,
        "typical_volume": 1639380.45,
        "trend": 34.030854,
        "fair_value": 42.023179,
        "relative_strength": -27.860555,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.795716,
        "energy": 73.18714,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.793769,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.07,
        "volume": 3329902,
        "typical_volume": 1751099.9,
        "trend": 33.989187,
        "fair_value": 41.915184,
        "relative_strength": -22.660832,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.841032,
        "energy": 71.140108,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.700728,
          32.028346,
          33.157834,
          33.678992
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.7,
        "volume": 2123527,
        "typical_volume": 1798399.35,
        "trend": 33.935187,
        "fair_value": 41.795976,
        "relative_strength": -21.343628,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.804405,
        "energy": 58.714714,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.642887,
          31.592062,
          32.862665,
          33.466786
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.64,
        "volume": 2124171,
        "typical_volume": 1819681.15,
        "trend": 33.934521,
        "fair_value": 41.68118,
        "relative_strength": -18.333523,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.029041,
        "energy": 37.630362,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.042342,
          31.393959,
          32.680781,
          33.31871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.13,
        "volume": 1599402,
        "typical_volume": 1821596.45,
        "trend": 33.902187,
        "fair_value": 41.561223,
        "relative_strength": -20.087102,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.150706,
        "energy": 26.384763,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.471529,
          31.35113,
          32.56504,
          33.202289
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}