{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4826fe0f-e870-4f2d-839b-67bb6512c040", "symbol": "LIVE", "name": "Live Ventures Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.119, "architecture_energy": 34.713, "architecture_maturity": 64.726, "architecture_confidence": 85.441, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.74, "rotation_up": 24.01, "upward_expansion": 3.94, "deceleration": 57.13, "rotation_down": 46.89, "downward_expansion": 77.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.948027, 10.115298, 10.548713, 11.354898 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.63, "trend_reference": 13.040577, "distance_from_trend": -0.261536, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.413288, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.446974, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.44344, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.470879, "excess_performance": -0.658333, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.261536, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082151, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.446974, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154305, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.414434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108433, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.470879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.416663, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47208, "relative_activity": 1.188111, "balance": 1.416663, "dry_up": 1.157715, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202198, "annualized_volatility": 0.708091, "from_high_reference": -0.621164, "from_low_reference": 0.132941 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.040577, "fair_value_reference": 17.413288, "structural_low": 8.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.009205, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.021887, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 1.188651, "worst_return": -0.274387, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.020332, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018032, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.784925, "worst_return": -0.358655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.003077, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.133396, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.95558, "worst_return": -0.57485, "sufficient": true 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.759539, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.538319, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.271128, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.788893, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004902, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": 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11.224413, 12.498114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.76, "volume": 85529, "typical_volume": 36121.45, "trend": 13.929537, "fair_value": 17.832046, "relative_strength": -37.356301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.060528, "energy": 31.178604, "activity_lines": [ 10.408667, 10.2786, 11.102213, 12.28666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.2002, "volume": 85146, "typical_volume": 39303.95, "trend": 13.78121, "fair_value": 17.738329, "relative_strength": -31.523384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.556047, "energy": 25.086211, "activity_lines": [ 10.702733, 10.410336, 11.05327, 12.110573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.69, "volume": 21220, "typical_volume": 38376.45, "trend": 13.580877, "fair_value": 17.628714, "relative_strength": -39.0682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.289839, "energy": 29.676506, "activity_lines": [ 10.40672, 10.30476, 10.87364, 11.846624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.71, "volume": 30427, "typical_volume": 38692.55, "trend": 13.380877, "fair_value": 17.521855, "relative_strength": -38.559295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.649152, "energy": 32.358168, "activity_lines": [ 10.15804, 10.208938, 10.711438, 11.59689 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.63, "volume": 47208, "typical_volume": 39733.65, "trend": 13.040577, "fair_value": 17.413288, "relative_strength": -41.44344, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.118628, "energy": 34.713442, "activity_lines": [ 9.948027, 10.115298, 10.548713, 11.354898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }