{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4841cf15-1815-4638-b33d-37a57bc65aac", "symbol": "002088", "name": "Luyang Energy-Saving Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.461, "architecture_energy": 64.76, "architecture_maturity": 68.633, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 21.98, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 56.19, "rotation_down": 61.87, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.305333, 7.531787, 8.111421, 8.76365 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.48, "trend_reference": 9.715563, "distance_from_trend": -0.230101, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.538991, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.351763, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.510157, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.436747, "excess_performance": -0.444147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.230101, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109895, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.351763, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146207, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015557, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.436747, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.311098, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14571160, "relative_activity": 0.973081, "balance": 0.311098, "dry_up": 1.271231, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083665, "annualized_volatility": 0.290886, "from_high_reference": -0.463029, "from_low_reference": 0.096774 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.715563, "fair_value_reference": 11.538991, "structural_low": 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11.699399, "relative_strength": -34.333292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.771512, "energy": 82.106114, "activity_lines": [ 7.630354, 7.960382, 8.616043, 9.282834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.98, "volume": 25882051, "typical_volume": 15230688.6, "trend": 9.926896, "fair_value": 11.643522, "relative_strength": -36.030409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.580012, "energy": 78.33057, "activity_lines": [ 7.357483, 7.734331, 8.402486, 9.084432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.29, "volume": 20396201, "typical_volume": 15115660.45, "trend": 9.815229, "fair_value": 11.590761, "relative_strength": -31.474843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.493388, "energy": 69.84957, "activity_lines": [ 7.287333, 7.603127, 8.238596, 8.91431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.48, "volume": 14571160, "typical_volume": 14974257.75, "trend": 9.715563, "fair_value": 11.538991, "relative_strength": -32.510157, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.460857, "energy": 64.759527, "activity_lines": [ 7.305333, 7.531787, 8.111421, 8.76365 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }