{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4854e852-5c77-4201-9842-cc73d58f49d9", "symbol": "603350", "name": "Ananda Drive Techniques(Shanghai)Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.552, "architecture_energy": 82.898, "architecture_maturity": 58.288, "architecture_confidence": 90.352, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.89, "rotation_up": 10.28, "upward_expansion": 20.58, "deceleration": 37.25, "rotation_down": 74.12, "downward_expansion": 93.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.414667, 28.664364, 30.533336, 31.920581 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.82, "trend_reference": 33.868937, "distance_from_trend": -0.178598, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.514592, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.604429, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.265615, "excess_performance": -0.222411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.178598, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074978, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226044, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100532, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.265615, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417801, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3609625, "relative_activity": 0.805439, "balance": 0.417801, "dry_up": 0.960052, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079329, "annualized_volatility": 0.319416, "from_high_reference": -0.394358, "from_low_reference": 0.075377 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.868937, "fair_value_reference": 34.514592, "structural_low": 25.870001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035337, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.008667, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.053799, "worst_return": -0.165842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.157988, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.142377, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.157988, "worst_return": -0.157988, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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}, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.82, "volume": 3609625, "typical_volume": 4481560.05, "trend": 33.868937, "fair_value": 34.514592, "relative_strength": -22.604429, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.551873, "energy": 82.897585, "activity_lines": [ 27.414667, 28.664364, 30.533336, 31.920581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }