{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4863d579-b76d-4a17-ad5c-e413d42fbbf5", "symbol": "5TT", "name": "Keong Hong Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -92.981, "architecture_energy": 96.371, "architecture_maturity": 54.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.303, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.38, "rotation_up": 8.58, "upward_expansion": 21.87, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 81.0, "downward_expansion": 92.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.114533, 0.121964, 0.130781, 0.137637 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.1, "trend_reference": 0.146133, "distance_from_trend": -0.315693, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.13675, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.268739, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.891949, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.415205, "excess_performance": -0.57004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.315693, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060437, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.268739, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177145, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.478919, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236203, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.415205, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.866078, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5000, "relative_activity": 0.101906, "balance": 0.866078, "dry_up": 0.45399, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076923, "annualized_volatility": 0.558246, "from_high_reference": -0.6, "from_low_reference": 0.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.146133, "fair_value_reference": 0.13675, "structural_low": 0.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.014493, "positive_rate": 0.282051, "directional_follow_through": 0.512821, "median_excess_return": -0.022397, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.394366, "worst_return": -0.280702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.068966, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.086122, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 1.380282, "worst_return": -0.3875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.148387, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.25878, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.366197, "worst_return": -0.384615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.27551, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.422535, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.46087, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.119048, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.012821, 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0.147191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.132, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47390.0, "trend": 0.150967, "fair_value": 0.13859, "relative_strength": -31.85307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.325135, "energy": 77.734279, "activity_lines": [ 0.132, 0.135236, 0.140724, 0.145929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.132, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 44610.0, "trend": 0.150333, "fair_value": 0.138205, "relative_strength": -31.679922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.06919, "energy": 67.855121, "activity_lines": [ 0.132, 0.133964, 0.139314, 0.144705 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.13, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 44615.0, "trend": 0.1494, "fair_value": 0.137853, "relative_strength": -33.063224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.922848, "energy": 58.172011, "activity_lines": [ 0.131333, 0.132345, 0.137895, 0.143394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.108, "volume": 84000, "typical_volume": 48815.0, "trend": 0.147833, "fair_value": 0.137327, "relative_strength": -43.964431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.177546, "energy": 75.766443, "activity_lines": [ 0.123467, 0.127364, 0.134571, 0.140723 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 49065.0, "trend": 0.146133, "fair_value": 0.13675, "relative_strength": -47.891949, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.981028, "energy": 96.371191, "activity_lines": [ 0.114533, 0.121964, 0.130781, 0.137637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }