{ "ticker": { "uuid": "48662f4a-8744-4fe1-93ac-99e51a282bc8", "symbol": "CNSL", "name": "Cambridge Nutritional Sciences plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.283, "architecture_energy": 20.619, "architecture_maturity": 23.354, "architecture_confidence": 65.427, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.79, "rotation_up": 20.04, "upward_expansion": 12.71, "deceleration": 58.25, "rotation_down": 37.34, "downward_expansion": 60.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.017667, 0.017627, 0.018246, 0.018569 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.018, "trend_reference": 0.018975, "distance_from_trend": -0.051383, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.02816, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.360787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.590118, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1, "excess_performance": -0.151235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051383, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062577, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.360787, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107215, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.255901, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.252393, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 888664, "relative_activity": 1.174728, "balance": 0.252393, "dry_up": 0.861789, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12906, "annualized_volatility": 0.186244, "from_high_reference": -0.512723, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.018975, "fair_value_reference": 0.02816, "structural_low": 0.016, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.029126, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.564103, "median_excess_return": -0.041046, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.480769, "worst_return": -0.603883, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.024563, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.007861, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.515748, "worst_return": -0.767059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.074444, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.143166, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.659574, "worst_return": -0.847059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 0.017533, 0.018045, 0.018708, 0.018987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0175, "volume": 500806, "typical_volume": 786298.0, "trend": 0.019275, "fair_value": 0.028301, "relative_strength": -29.786736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.214115, "energy": 36.351768, "activity_lines": [ 0.0175, 0.017827, 0.018567, 0.018868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0175, "volume": 252815, "typical_volume": 737632.25, "trend": 0.019208, "fair_value": 0.02824, "relative_strength": -29.23854, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.61396, "energy": 31.643381, "activity_lines": [ 0.0175, 0.017682, 0.018437, 0.018753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0175, "volume": 965438, "typical_volume": 775418.2, "trend": 0.019142, "fair_value": 0.028201, "relative_strength": -28.792994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.346245, "energy": 27.348639, "activity_lines": [ 0.0175, 0.017591, 0.018314, 0.018643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.018, "volume": 888664, "typical_volume": 756485.1, "trend": 0.018975, "fair_value": 0.02816, "relative_strength": -25.590118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.283417, "energy": 20.618559, "activity_lines": [ 0.017667, 0.017627, 0.018246, 0.018569 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }