{ "ticker": { "uuid": "486ab989-f120-4769-ae89-ae0116149e46", "symbol": "BSX", "name": "Boston Scientific Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.091, "architecture_energy": 50.016, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.18, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.85, "rotation_up": 27.9, "upward_expansion": 21.12, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 46.53, "downward_expansion": 73.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.603333, 45.915636, 48.599905, 53.325785 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 49.31, "trend_reference": 61.166333, "distance_from_trend": -0.193838, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 78.865256, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.374756, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.007084, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.353481, "excess_performance": -0.479106, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.193838, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219509, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.374756, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055035, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.440071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040223, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.353481, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.957559, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91303240, "relative_activity": 0.953061, "balance": 0.957559, "dry_up": 1.051107, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07715, "annualized_volatility": 0.386172, "from_high_reference": -0.54968, "from_low_reference": 0.168483 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.166333, "fair_value_reference": 78.865256, "structural_low": 42.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.070237, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.046392, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.127297, "worst_return": -0.15147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.079629, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064544, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.158012, "worst_return": -0.348158, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.011404, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.099966, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.272147, "worst_return": -0.526305, "sufficient": false 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.159613, "energy": 67.754994, "activity_lines": [ 44.972667, 46.816545, 52.135429, 58.278086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.03, "volume": 82091035, "typical_volume": 89383284.65, "trend": 66.103667, "fair_value": 78.949551, "relative_strength": -50.631907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.548016, "energy": 67.353014, "activity_lines": [ 44.56, 45.956727, 50.847905, 56.743054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.25, "volume": 86566493, "typical_volume": 90401882.25, "trend": 64.376667, "fair_value": 78.901859, "relative_strength": -49.208805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.165529, "energy": 65.700212, "activity_lines": [ 44.412667, 45.316909, 49.737619, 55.33314 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.73, "volume": 142823373, "typical_volume": 94415291.2, "trend": 62.777333, "fair_value": 78.876282, "relative_strength": -45.984654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.624458, "energy": 62.360952, "activity_lines": [ 45.161333, 45.281273, 48.992571, 54.194645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.31, "volume": 91303240, "typical_volume": 95799970.65, "trend": 61.166333, "fair_value": 78.865256, "relative_strength": -44.007084, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.090884, "energy": 50.015596, "activity_lines": [ 46.603333, 45.915636, 48.599905, 53.325785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }