{ "ticker": { "uuid": "486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9", "symbol": "NWG", "name": "NatWest Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.506, "architecture_energy": 78.676, "architecture_maturity": 16.254, "architecture_confidence": 80.871, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.17, "rotation_up": 80.42, "upward_expansion": 94.52, "deceleration": 42.92, "rotation_down": 11.77, "downward_expansion": 16.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 694.293333, 678.538182, 645.514288, 628.609924 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 712.4, "trend_reference": 617.772913, "distance_from_trend": 0.153175, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 429.128151, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.66011, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.576974, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080805, "excess_performance": 0.029569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.153175, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020993, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.66011, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196901, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.09577, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.131765, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080805, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.977726, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 141836593, "relative_activity": 1.328683, "balance": 2.977726, "dry_up": 1.175582, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046118, "annualized_volatility": 0.349605, "from_high_reference": -0.018733, "from_low_reference": 0.424795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 617.772913, "fair_value_reference": 429.128151, "structural_low": 504.410004, 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[ 660.146667, 636.210912, 612.310601, 608.642998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 669.4, "volume": 115550853, "typical_volume": 108462389.45, "trend": 612.840509, "fair_value": 420.304232, "relative_strength": 6.658429, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.660675, "energy": 70.898749, "activity_lines": [ 666.373333, 645.70182, 619.152019, 612.34545 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 676.0, "volume": 130827858, "typical_volume": 109607013.2, "trend": 613.822392, "fair_value": 423.066662, "relative_strength": 6.138393, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.262759, "energy": 80.298635, "activity_lines": [ 671.12, 654.763637, 626.38084, 616.420256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 705.8, "volume": 113756936, "typical_volume": 110694210.5, "trend": 615.437751, "fair_value": 426.071948, "relative_strength": 9.169403, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.608821, "energy": 75.332992, "activity_lines": [ 683.253333, 667.156364, 635.968574, 622.354296 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 712.4, "volume": 141836593, "typical_volume": 106749729.65, "trend": 617.772913, "fair_value": 429.128151, "relative_strength": 9.576974, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.505798, "energy": 78.675507, "activity_lines": [ 694.293333, 678.538182, 645.514288, 628.609924 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }