{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4874d288-edb1-4831-b0a1-959a2902a7f0",
    "symbol": "603489",
    "name": "Bafang Electric (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.905,
    "architecture_energy": 77.58,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.233,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.325,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.14,
        "rotation_up": 10.78,
        "upward_expansion": 18.56,
        "deceleration": 37.91,
        "rotation_down": 72.33,
        "downward_expansion": 91.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.672667,
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        30.001032,
        30.964486
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.84,
    "trend_reference": 31.684932,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.15291,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 27.922261,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03876,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.737882,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.11302,
    "excess_performance": -0.069817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15291,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022034,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03876,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.377267,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107379,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.301093,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11302,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.688998,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13202781,
      "relative_activity": 0.782465,
      "balance": 0.688998,
      "dry_up": 0.907509,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.106892,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.435693,
      "from_high_reference": -0.335196,
      "from_low_reference": 0.171541
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.684932,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.922261,
      "structural_low": 22.91,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.024071,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014264,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
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        "worst_return": -0.203684,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.055621,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -17.283638,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 20205776.5,
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        "fair_value": 28.309202,
        "relative_strength": -12.023582,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -51.934751,
        "energy": 73.439012,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.040001,
        "volume": 16247771,
        "typical_volume": 19173511.55,
        "trend": 31.950932,
        "fair_value": 28.155685,
        "relative_strength": -17.786761,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.5174,
        "energy": 87.620584,
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          25.711334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 25.58,
        "volume": 10272482,
        "typical_volume": 18223956.75,
        "trend": 31.809598,
        "fair_value": 28.021232,
        "relative_strength": -12.709372,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.357308,
        "energy": 84.928479,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.378,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.84,
        "volume": 13202781,
        "typical_volume": 16873312.5,
        "trend": 31.684932,
        "fair_value": 27.922261,
        "relative_strength": -10.737882,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.90522,
        "energy": 77.580235,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}