{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4874eeae-46f1-480f-a8b7-cf0c0d72e4da",
    "symbol": "2748",
    "name": "FDC International Hotels Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 56.454,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -11.189,
    "architecture_energy": 10.45,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.593,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.066,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.63,
        "rotation_up": 33.03,
        "upward_expansion": 33.54,
        "deceleration": 34.0,
        "rotation_down": 26.83,
        "downward_expansion": 44.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.350292,
        38.227951,
        38.147602,
        38.201506
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.400002,
    "trend_reference": 38.375214,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.000646,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 52.513431,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.268758,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -33.238063,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.00579,
    "excess_performance": -0.447162,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000646,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028122,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.268758,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057481,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.332381,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079022,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00579,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.951881,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 328000,
      "relative_activity": 0.449634,
      "balance": 1.951881,
      "dry_up": 0.828077,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027598,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.124987,
      "from_high_reference": -0.178607,
      "from_low_reference": 0.047356
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.375214,
      "fair_value_reference": 52.513431,
      "structural_low": 36.663752,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.010412,
        "positive_rate": 0.3125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0443,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.06407,
        "worst_return": -0.123438,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.07109,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018264,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.104969,
        "worst_return": -0.119048,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.010896,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.100938,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.227148,
        "worst_return": -0.276353,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.284238,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.505558,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.210749,
        "worst_return": -0.289774,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2022-02-18",
        "end": "2022-03-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2022-04-01",
        "end": "2022-06-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-06-17",
        "end": "2023-05-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.922097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-06-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.217391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.119299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-09-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.064165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.133113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078382,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.124321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.234597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.135019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.005181,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 629787.85,
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        "fair_value": 57.066657,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 768657.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.858791,
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        "trend": 38.733561,
        "fair_value": 53.503966,
        "relative_strength": -33.730491,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.428529,
        "energy": 22.699897,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.097797,
        "volume": 518150,
        "typical_volume": 709644.75,
        "trend": 38.62999,
        "fair_value": 53.27901,
        "relative_strength": -33.778403,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.02374,
        "energy": 18.959553,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.973514,
          38.022186,
          38.060469,
          38.218794
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.599998,
        "volume": 1052784,
        "typical_volume": 732427.95,
        "trend": 38.541567,
        "fair_value": 53.052712,
        "relative_strength": -30.988957,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.248795,
        "energy": 6.233309,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.195089,
          38.138699,
          38.105794,
          38.216859
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.349998,
        "volume": 517335,
        "typical_volume": 737140.45,
        "trend": 38.446404,
        "fair_value": 52.761533,
        "relative_strength": -32.074182,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.899086,
        "energy": 8.230161,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.264796,
          38.190198,
          38.1256,
          38.2045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 38.400002,
        "volume": 328000,
        "typical_volume": 729481.95,
        "trend": 38.375214,
        "fair_value": 52.513431,
        "relative_strength": -33.238063,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.188831,
        "energy": 10.449847,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.350292,
          38.227951,
          38.147602,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}