{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "487cbedb-db7c-435c-8c16-f0e27e65b8cc",
    "symbol": "688157",
    "name": "Sokan New Materials Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.674,
    "architecture_energy": 74.601,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.586,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.71,
        "rotation_up": 17.63,
        "upward_expansion": 16.71,
        "deceleration": 42.09,
        "rotation_down": 66.57,
        "downward_expansion": 90.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.264667,
        19.363886,
        22.34463,
        24.695908
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 19.09,
    "trend_reference": 27.36982,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.302516,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 26.226554,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.272112,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -33.016087,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.367757,
    "excess_performance": -0.324553,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.302516,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087361,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.272112,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.374002,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.330161,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.259297,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.367757,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.630079,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12800965,
      "relative_activity": 0.985264,
      "balance": 0.630079,
      "dry_up": 1.075297,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.147013,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.51617,
      "from_high_reference": -0.513453,
      "from_low_reference": 0.21515
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.36982,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.226554,
      "structural_low": 15.71,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.017611,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.352941,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030601,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.193464,
        "worst_return": -0.272968,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.082342,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.126296,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.520915,
        "worst_return": -0.291187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.098948,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06711,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.234915,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.168108,
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        "best_return": 0.281453,
        "worst_return": -0.337658,
        "sufficient": false
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        "return": 0.335664,
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      },
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13080954.35,
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        "fair_value": 26.480962,
        "relative_strength": -37.746935,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -85.556873,
        "energy": 89.850726,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.440001,
        "volume": 13654822,
        "typical_volume": 12657254.0,
        "trend": 28.158317,
        "fair_value": 26.385318,
        "relative_strength": -41.364709,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.06521,
        "energy": 89.275648,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.456895,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.5,
        "volume": 15735826,
        "typical_volume": 12790215.55,
        "trend": 27.738015,
        "fair_value": 26.303217,
        "relative_strength": -33.928658,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.362293,
        "energy": 83.071801,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.190667,
          19.684859,
          22.987405,
          25.253844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.09,
        "volume": 12800965,
        "typical_volume": 12992415.95,
        "trend": 27.36982,
        "fair_value": 26.226554,
        "relative_strength": -33.016087,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.674479,
        "energy": 74.601169,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}